NBA 2024-2025: Memphis Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction

Memphis Grizzlies

Home Team
39.7%
110.1 pts
VS

Oklahoma City Thunder

Away Team
60.3%
113.8 pts

Key Prediction Insights

The Oklahoma City Thunder are predicted to edge out the Memphis Grizzlies with a 60.3% likelihood of victory. The predicted score is 110.1 for the Grizzlies to 113.8 for the Thunder. The Grizzlies' starting lineup is expected to feature Ja Morant, Scotty Pippen Jr., Desmond Bane, Jaren Jackson Jr., and Zach Edey. Meanwhile, the Thunder's starting five is anticipated to include Jalen Williams, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, and Isaiah Hartenstein.

Game Analysis

The Memphis Grizzlies' recent performances have been a mixed bag, with two significant losses to the Thunder by scores of 99-118 and 80-131, followed by a commanding victory over the Dallas Mavericks, 132-97. This suggests that the Grizzlies have struggled against the Thunder's defensive schemes. Oklahoma City, on the other hand, is riding a three-game win streak, including those two dominant wins over Memphis and a solid 115-100 victory against the New Orleans Pelicans. Looking at the starting five, the Thunder boast a potent offensive arsenal, led by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who has an impressive offensive rating of 128.9 and averages 32.38 points per game. This is complemented by solid contributions from Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren. Defensively, the Thunder starting lineup is also strong, with several players holding defensive ratings below 110. The Grizzlies, while having a dynamic scorer in Ja Morant (23.06 points per game), have shown vulnerabilities in their defensive ratings, with Morant himself at 115.4. Desmond Bane and Jaren Jackson Jr. provide additional offensive firepower, but their efforts might be challenged by the Thunder's defensive prowess.

Final Prediction

The Oklahoma City Thunder's recent form and balanced starting lineup give them a competitive edge in this matchup. Key to their advantage is the stellar play of Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, whose scoring ability could be a decisive factor. Fans should watch for how well the Grizzlies can contain him and whether their defense can rise to the occasion against a formidable Thunder offense.