NBA 2024-2025: Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction

Oklahoma City Thunder

Home Team
86.4%
118.5 pts
VS

Memphis Grizzlies

Away Team
13.6%
107.1 pts

Key Prediction Insights

The Oklahoma City Thunder are predicted to win against the Memphis Grizzlies with an 86.4% probability. The expected scoreline suggests a 118.5 to 107.1 victory for the Thunder. For Oklahoma City, the starting five includes Jalen Williams, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, and Isaiah Hartenstein. The Grizzlies' starting lineup features Ja Morant, Scotty Pippen Jr., Desmond Bane, Jaren Jackson Jr., and Zach Edey.

Game Analysis

Both teams have shown varied performances in their last three games. The Thunder are on a winning streak, having convincingly defeated the New Orleans Pelicans, Utah Jazz, and Phoenix Suns. Their recent form showcases a potent offense paired with a solid defense, scoring an average of 128.33 points per game while conceding just 107.67 points. In contrast, the Grizzlies have experienced mixed results, winning against the Dallas Mavericks but falling to the Denver Nuggets and Minnesota Timberwolves. They averaged 122 points while allowing 118.33 points across these contests. Examining the expected starting lineups, the Thunder boast a strong offensive unit with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander leading the charge, boasting an impressive offensive rating of 129.5 and averaging 32.68 points per game. On defense, Isaiah Hartenstein stands out with the best defensive rating at 105.1. The Grizzlies, on the other hand, rely heavily on Ja Morant's playmaking skills, but his defensive rating of 115.1 may prove a vulnerability against the Thunder's aggressive offense. Desmond Bane and Jaren Jackson Jr. provide scoring depth, but the team might struggle to contain Oklahoma City's high-powered attack.

Final Prediction

The Oklahoma City Thunder are well-positioned to secure a victory, driven by their recent winning streak and superior offensive capabilities. A key factor to watch will be Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's performance, as his ability to score and orchestrate plays could be decisive in exploiting the Grizzlies' defensive weaknesses.