NBA 2024-2025: Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction

Phoenix Suns

Home Team
29.2%
109.7 pts
VS

Oklahoma City Thunder

Away Team
70.8%
121.7 pts

Key Prediction Insights

The Oklahoma City Thunder are predicted to win against the Phoenix Suns with a 70.8% probability. The expected scoreline is 121.7 for the Thunder and 109.7 for the Suns. The Suns are likely to start Bradley Beal, Devin Booker, Ryan Dunn, Kevin Durant, and Nick Richards, while the Thunder's starting lineup is expected to include Jalen Williams, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, and Isaiah Hartenstein.

Game Analysis

In recent outings, the Phoenix Suns have struggled, suffering three consecutive losses against formidable opponents: the Golden State Warriors, New York Knicks, and Boston Celtics. This losing streak is a concern as they have been outpaced significantly in each game, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities. With Devin Booker and Kevin Durant leading the scoring for the Suns, their offensive capabilities remain potent. However, their defensive ratings—Booker's 122.8 and Durant's 117.5—suggest an area needing improvement. On the other hand, the Thunder have shown mixed results in their last three games, defeating the Los Angeles Lakers in their most recent matchup with a commanding score of 136-120. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been a standout performer, boasting an impressive offensive rating of 129.5 and averaging 32.7 points per game. The Thunder's overall defensive efforts, particularly from players like Chet Holmgren and Isaiah Hartenstein, who have defensive ratings of 105.7 and 105.1 respectively, could prove pivotal in containing the Suns' high-caliber scorers.

Final Prediction

The Oklahoma City Thunder's recent victory against a strong Lakers team, coupled with their superior defensive ratings, gives them a significant advantage over the Suns. A key factor to watch will be the performance of Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, whose offensive prowess might be the deciding element in securing a win for the Thunder.