NBA 2024-2025: Atlanta Hawks vs Golden State Warriors Prediction

Atlanta Hawks

Home Team

56.0%

112.5 pts

Golden State Warriors

Away Team

44.0%

111.4 pts

2025-03-22

Key Prediction Insights

The Atlanta Hawks are predicted to edge out the Golden State Warriors with a probability of 56.0%, with an anticipated final score of 112.5 to 111.4. The Hawks are expected to start Trae Young, Dyson Daniels, Zaccharie Risacher, Mouhamed Gueye, and Onyeka Okongwu. Meanwhile, the Warriors are likely to field Brandin Podziemski, Moses Moody, Jimmy Butler III, Draymond Green, and Quinten Post.

Game Analysis

The Atlanta Hawks have shown mixed results in their recent outings, registering a dominant win against the Charlotte Hornets with a 134-102 score but suffering losses to the Brooklyn Nets and Los Angeles Clippers. Trae Young continues to be a pivotal offensive force with his average of 24.06 points per game, though his defensive rating suggests vulnerabilities on that end of the court. Onyeka Okongwu stands out with a high offensive rating of 129.4, making him a potential game-changer in their lineup. On the other hand, the Golden State Warriors have been slightly more consistent, securing victories against the Toronto Raptors and Milwaukee Bucks before falling to the Denver Nuggets. Draymond Green's presence remains crucial, especially with his reliable defensive play. Despite a lower offensive rating, his experience and leadership are vital. Moses Moody, with an offensive rating of 114.3, provides a balanced scoring option, though the team lacks a scoring powerhouse with average points hovering around 10 for most players.

Final Prediction

The Atlanta Hawks' slight edge in this matchup stems from their offensive capabilities, particularly with Trae Young leading the charge. The key to their success will likely be exploiting the Warriors' defensive lapses, especially in the absence of a high-scoring threat from Golden State. Fans should keep an eye on Onyeka Okongwu, whose impressive offensive efficiency could be the decisive factor in this closely contested clash.