NBA 2024-2025: San Antonio Spurs vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction

San Antonio Spurs

Home Team
82.6%
117.8 pts
VS

New Orleans Pelicans

Away Team
17.4%
110.9 pts

Key Prediction Insights

The San Antonio Spurs are predicted to emerge victorious against the New Orleans Pelicans with an 82.6% probability. The anticipated scoreline suggests a close match with the Spurs scoring 117.8 points against the Pelicans' 110.9. For the Spurs, the expected starting five features Chris Paul, Stephon Castle, Devin Vassell, Harrison Barnes, and Bismack Biyombo. The Pelicans are likely to start Bruce Brown, CJ McCollum, Trey Murphy III, Karlo Matković, and Kelly Olynyk.

Game Analysis

In their last three games, the Spurs have experienced mixed results with a win sandwiched between two losses. Their victory over the Dallas Mavericks showcased their scoring ability, putting up 126 points. However, their defense was notably porous in the losses, conceding 145 points to the Hornets. The Pelicans, on the other hand, have also had a rocky spell, with a single win against the Clippers amidst losses to the Magic and Grizzlies. Their performance against the Magic was particularly concerning, as they struggled offensively, scoring just 93 points. The Spurs' starting lineup, featuring Chris Paul with a high offensive rating of 128.4, indicates a strong offensive potential. Devin Vassell also contributes significantly with an average of 15.98 points per game. However, their defensive ratings are a concern, with all starters above 117. The Pelicans' lineup showcases a similar pattern, with standout performances from CJ McCollum and Trey Murphy III, who average over 21 points each. Yet, they face defensive challenges, as evidenced by their recent struggles to contain opponents.

Final Prediction

The Spurs are favored due to their potent offensive lineup and recent ability to score big in victories. Their edge lies in their higher offensive ratings and the playmaking abilities of Chris Paul. A crucial factor to watch will be how both teams handle their defensive vulnerabilities, which could ultimately decide the outcome of this match.