NBA 2024-2025: San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction

San Antonio Spurs

Home Team

30.9%

110.9 pts

Oklahoma City Thunder

Away Team

69.1%

119.7 pts

2025-03-02

Key Prediction Insights

The Oklahoma City Thunder are projected to emerge victorious over the San Antonio Spurs with a winning probability of 69.1%. The predicted scoreline suggests a 119.7 to 110.9 triumph for the Thunder. The expected starting lineup for the Spurs includes Chris Paul, De'Aaron Fox, Devin Vassell, Harrison Barnes, and Bismack Biyombo. On the other hand, the Thunder are anticipated to start with Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, and Isaiah Hartenstein.

Game Analysis

In their last three matchups, the San Antonio Spurs have struggled, securing only one win against the Memphis Grizzlies in a nail-biting 130-128 victory. However, they faced defeats against the Houston Rockets and New Orleans Pelicans, reflecting a need to tighten up their defensive play. The Spurs' starting five demonstrates a balanced offensive output with De'Aaron Fox leading with an average of 19.6 points, supported by Harrison Barnes and Devin Vassell. Conversely, Oklahoma City Thunder have been in solid form, winning their last two games against the Atlanta Hawks and Brooklyn Nets, scoring over 125 points in each contest. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander shines brightly for the Thunder, averaging 32.3 points, and is backed by Jalen Williams' consistent performance. Both teams exhibit comparable offensive capabilities, but the Thunder's defensive ratings suggest a slight edge, especially with Isaiah Hartenstein anchoring their defense.

Final Prediction

The Oklahoma City Thunder are favored to win due to their recent strong performances and superior defensive capabilities. A crucial factor to watch during the game will be how effectively the Spurs can contain Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, whose scoring prowess could be pivotal in determining the outcome. With both teams showcasing offensive strengths, the game promises to be an exciting battle of tactical acumen and scoring flair.