NBA 2024-2025: Sacramento Kings vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction
Sacramento Kings
Home Team
60.9%
118.0 pts
VS
New Orleans Pelicans
Away Team
39.1%
115.9 pts
Key Prediction Insights
The Sacramento Kings are predicted to edge out the New Orleans Pelicans with a probability of 60.9%, scoring 118.0 to the Pelicans' 115.9. The Kings' expected starting five includes Malik Monk, DeMar DeRozan, Zach LaVine, Keegan Murray, and Domantas Sabonis. On the Pelicans' side, the anticipated starters are CJ McCollum, Trey Murphy III, Karlo Matković, Zion Williamson, and Yves Missi.
Game Analysis
Both teams enter this matchup with recent struggles but differing momentum. The Kings have shown resilience, having won against the Minnesota Timberwolves with a close 116-114 victory, but faltered against the Portland Trail Blazers and Orlando Magic. The Pelicans, meanwhile, are on a tougher streak, with three consecutive losses, including back-to-back games against the Denver Nuggets and a narrow defeat to the Boston Celtics.
Looking at the expected starting lineups, the Kings have a balanced mix of offensive talent, highlighted by Domantas Sabonis' impressive 130.2 offensive rating and 20.4 points per game. DeMar DeRozan also contributes significantly with 21.7 points per game. On the defensive end, however, Zach LaVine's defensive rating of 128.5 could be a vulnerability. Conversely, the Pelicans showcase a strong offensive weapon in Zion Williamson, who averages 23.3 points per game, supported by Trey Murphy III’s 22.7 points. However, their defensive ratings, particularly CJ McCollum's 122.9, suggest potential defensive lapses.
Final Prediction
The Sacramento Kings are favored due to their slightly superior offensive execution and a more balanced starting lineup. A key factor to watch is how the Kings' defense, particularly around Zach LaVine, handles the Pelicans' offensive threats like Zion Williamson. The Kings' ability to capitalize on these matchups could be decisive in securing the win.