NBA 2024-2025: Memphis Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction

Memphis Grizzlies

Home Team
41.8%
116.4 pts
VS

Oklahoma City Thunder

Away Team
58.2%
118.1 pts

Key Prediction Insights

The Oklahoma City Thunder are predicted to edge out the Memphis Grizzlies with a win probability of 58.2%. The anticipated final score sees the Thunder narrowly leading with 118.1 points against the Grizzlies' 116.4. The expected starting five for Memphis includes Ja Morant, Desmond Bane, Jaylen Wells, Jaren Jackson Jr., and Zach Edey. For the Thunder, Aaron Wiggins, Jalen Williams, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, and Isaiah Hartenstein are set to take the court.

Game Analysis

Both teams have been on impressive winning streaks over their last three games. The Grizzlies have shown formidable performance, triumphing over teams like the Toronto Raptors, San Antonio Spurs, and Milwaukee Bucks with strong offensive outputs, scoring 138, 128, and 132 points, respectively. Key contributions come from Jaren Jackson Jr., who boasts an average of 23.43 points, while Ja Morant and Desmond Bane have also been pivotal in maintaining a high offensive rating above 113. The Thunder’s recent games reflect a similar dominance, defeating the Raptors, Suns, and Bucks convincingly. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been a standout performer, averaging an impressive 32.67 points per game with an exceptional offensive rating of 128. Their defensive ratings also suggest a slightly tighter defense compared to the Grizzlies, which could be crucial in curbing Memphis's scoring power.

Final Prediction

The Thunder's edge in this face-off can be attributed to their consistent offensive prowess spearheaded by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, alongside a robust defensive strategy. A key factor to watch will be how the Grizzlies' Ja Morant and Jaren Jackson Jr. respond to the Thunder's defensive pressure, which could sway the game's outcome.