NBA 2024-2025: Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns Prediction

Oklahoma City Thunder

Home Team

84.7%

118.6 pts

Phoenix Suns

Away Team

15.3%

104.5 pts

2025-02-05

Key Prediction Insights

The Oklahoma City Thunder are predicted to come out on top against the Phoenix Suns with a substantial probability of 84.7%. The expected scoreline is 118.6 to 104.5 in favor of the Thunder. Oklahoma City's anticipated starting lineup features Aaron Wiggins, Jalen Williams, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, and Isaiah Hartenstein. Meanwhile, Phoenix is expected to start Tyus Jones, Bradley Beal, Devin Booker, Ryan Dunn, and Nick Richards.

Game Analysis

The Oklahoma City Thunder have been on a roll in their recent games, securing decisive victories against formidable opponents like the Milwaukee Bucks and Sacramento Kings. These wins, with scores of 125-96 and 144-110 respectively, highlight their offensive prowess. However, they faced a setback against the Golden State Warriors with a close loss. Their starting lineup boasts an impressive offensive and defensive synergy, led by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's outstanding average points of 32.47 and an offensive rating of 127.0. On the other hand, the Phoenix Suns have struggled in their recent matchups, suffering consecutive losses against the Portland Trail Blazers, despite a strong win against the Warriors earlier on. The Suns' starting five, while featuring the talents of Devin Booker and Bradley Beal, shows vulnerabilities in defensive ratings, particularly with Beal (117.8) and Dunn (116.8). Their average points made, notably Booker's 26.11, will be crucial if they aim to compete with the Thunder’s offensive depth.

Final Prediction

The Thunder's recent form and superior defensive metrics give them a clear edge heading into this matchup against the Suns. One key factor to watch will be the performance of Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, whose scoring ability and leadership could be decisive in maintaining their winning streak. With the Suns needing a boost in defensive effort, it’ll be interesting to see if they can counter the Thunder's offensive firepower.