NBA 2024-2025: Memphis Grizzlies vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction

Memphis Grizzlies

Home Team
84.8%
121.1 pts
VS

New Orleans Pelicans

Away Team
15.2%
113.5 pts

Key Prediction Insights

The Memphis Grizzlies are anticipated to triumph over the New Orleans Pelicans with a predicted probability of 84.8%. The expected scoreline suggests a victory for Memphis with 121.1 points to New Orleans' 113.5. Memphis will likely start Ja Morant, Desmond Bane, Jaylen Wells, Jaren Jackson Jr., and Zach Edey. Meanwhile, the Pelicans are expected to field CJ McCollum, Dejounte Murray, Javonte Green, Trey Murphy III, and Yves Missi.

Game Analysis

Both teams come into this matchup riding winning streaks. The Memphis Grizzlies have been on a roll, securing three consecutive victories, with standout performances against teams like the San Antonio Spurs (140-112) and Charlotte Hornets (132-120). Their recent form highlights a potent offensive lineup, as seen by their high-scoring games. The Grizzlies' starting five boasts impressive offensive ratings, particularly Desmond Bane (119.2) and Zach Edey (120.4), which could be instrumental in maintaining their scoring prowess against the Pelicans. On the other hand, the New Orleans Pelicans have also won their last three games, including back-to-back victories against the Utah Jazz and a narrow win over the Dallas Mavericks. While their offensive capabilities are evident, with players like Trey Murphy III averaging 21.57 points per game, their defensive ratings raise concerns. CJ McCollum's defensive rating of 121.0 could be a vulnerability against Memphis's high-octane offense. The contrast in defensive efficiencies could play a decisive role, with Memphis holding an edge due to their more balanced performance.

Final Prediction

The Memphis Grizzlies are favored to win due to their consistent recent performances and a well-rounded starting lineup with strong offensive and defensive metrics. A key factor to watch will be how the Grizzlies' defensive efforts, led by Jaren Jackson Jr., manage to stifle the Pelicans' offensive threats, potentially swinging the game in their favor.