San Antonio Spurs

Home Team
VS

Memphis Grizzlies

Away Team
Analysis Updated: 2025-01-22

Key Prediction Insights

The Memphis Grizzlies are predicted to edge out the San Antonio Spurs with a 63.8% probability, with an expected scoreline of 119.6 to 117.4. The anticipated starting lineup for the Spurs features Chris Paul, Stephon Castle, Devin Vassell, Harrison Barnes, and Victor Wembanyama. The Grizzlies are expected to start with Ja Morant, Desmond Bane, Jaylen Wells, Jaren Jackson Jr., and Zach Edey.

Game Analysis

Both teams have shown mixed performances in their recent outings. The Spurs have faced a couple of tough losses, including a recent 115-129 defeat to these very Grizzlies, but they did manage a convincing 126-102 win over the Los Angeles Lakers. Consistency has been an issue, as they struggle to maintain momentum against stronger teams. The Grizzlies, meanwhile, have shown resilience, bouncing back from a narrow 118-120 loss to the Rockets by securing a win against the Spurs and a thrilling 127-125 victory over the Timberwolves. Analyzing the starting five, the Spurs' Victor Wembanyama stands out with an average of 24.7 points made, supported by Chris Paul's high offensive rating of 125.5. However, their defensive numbers suggest vulnerabilities, with Stephon Castle's defensive rating at 116.0. On the Grizzlies' side, Jaren Jackson Jr. and Ja Morant are key offensive contributors, with average points of 22.7 and 21.4, respectively. The Grizzlies also boast a strong defensive lineup, highlighted by Jackson's defensive rating of 106.1, which could prove pivotal against the Spurs.

Final Prediction

The Grizzlies have the edge due to their recent form and balanced roster, both offensively and defensively. A key factor to watch will be how the Spurs' defense handles the dynamic duo of Morant and Jackson, as their performance could tilt the game in favor of Memphis.