Miami Heat

Home Team
VS

New Orleans Pelicans

Away Team
Analysis Updated: 2025-01-22

Key Prediction Insights

The Miami Heat are predicted to edge out the New Orleans Pelicans with a 78.5% probability, projecting a close score of 112.2 to 109.6. The Heat's expected starting five includes Tyler Herro, Duncan Robinson, Haywood Highsmith, Jimmy Butler, and Bam Adebayo. For the Pelicans, the lineup is expected to feature CJ McCollum, Dejounte Murray, Herbert Jones, Trey Murphy III, and Yves Missi.

Game Analysis

In recent games, the Miami Heat have displayed a mixed bag of performances, securing wins against the Houston Rockets and Orlando Magic but falling short against the Atlanta Hawks. Key figures like Tyler Herro and Jimmy Butler have been pivotal, with Herro averaging an impressive 24.03 points per game and Butler boasting a high offensive rating of 139.5. The Heat's defensive capabilities, particularly through Bam Adebayo with a defensive rating of 108.1, have also been crucial in tight contests. Conversely, the New Orleans Pelicans are on a challenging streak, having lost their last three games against the Clippers, Grizzlies, and Rockets. Despite individual standout performances, such as Trey Murphy III's average of 20.1 points per game, the Pelicans have struggled defensively, exemplified by high defensive ratings like CJ McCollum's 121.4. This defensive vulnerability has been a significant factor in their recent losses.

Final Prediction

The Miami Heat are favored to win this matchup, largely due to their balanced offensive and defensive strengths and recent wins that showcase their resilience in close games. A key factor to watch will be the Heat's ability to exploit the Pelicans' defensive weaknesses, particularly through the dynamic scoring abilities of Tyler Herro and Jimmy Butler. Fans can expect a thrilling contest as the Heat aim to maintain their winning momentum.