Denver Nuggets

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Phoenix Suns

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Analysis Updated: 2025-01-22

Key Prediction Insights

The Denver Nuggets are predicted to edge out the Phoenix Suns with a 69.6% probability, scoring 119.7 points against the Suns' 118.5. Expected to start for the Nuggets are Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, Michael Porter Jr., Aaron Gordon, and Nikola Jokić. For the Suns, Tyus Jones, Bradley Beal, Royce O'Neale, Kevin Durant, and Jusuf Nurkić are anticipated to hit the floor. Even though the predicted points suggest a close game, the higher win probability for the Nuggets is based on different analytical models, both of which are presented for transparency.

Game Analysis

In their last three games, the Denver Nuggets have shown strong form, securing two wins against the New Orleans Pelicans and the Sacramento Kings, albeit narrowly. A surprising loss to the Portland Trail Blazers was a minor setback. Their star center, Nikola Jokić, has been pivotal with an impressive average of 30.87 points and an offensive rating of 129.3. The Nuggets' starting lineup boasts a well-rounded offensive capability, with players like Christian Braun and Aaron Gordon contributing effectively. On the other hand, the Phoenix Suns have struggled recently, dropping two out of their last three games. Losses to the Detroit Pistons and the Indiana Pacers raised concerns, though a win against the Trail Blazers provided some respite. Kevin Durant leads the Suns with an average of 27.35 points and a solid offensive presence, yet the team’s defensive ratings suggest vulnerabilities that opponents can exploit. With Jusuf Nurkić having a lower offensive impact, the Suns might face challenges keeping pace with the Nuggets' scoring prowess.

Final Prediction

The Denver Nuggets are positioned with a slight edge due to their recent strong performances and the formidable presence of Nikola Jokić. His ability to dominate both ends of the court provides a significant advantage. A key factor to watch will be how the Suns' defense handles the multifaceted Nuggets offense, particularly in managing Jokić's impact.