# Predixsport

> Predixsport is a sports analytics platform that publishes calibrated probability forecasts for the NBA, the Euroleague, the UEFA Champions League, twelve domestic football leagues (the five top flights and seven second divisions) and ATP and WTA tennis. Every forecast is a full probability distribution, not a single number, and every prediction is scored against the real result after the match, misses included. The data is open to people and to AI: an MCP connector for Claude, Perplexity and the ChatGPT desktop app, a REST API, and JSON/CSV downloads.

## Track record
Share of predictions that called the result correctly, with the sample behind each figure. Live from the performance pages, so the numbers move as matches are played.
- [Euroleague predictions](https://www.predixsport.com/euroleague_performance): 67% of 342 games called correctly (2025-26)
- [Champions League predictions](https://www.predixsport.com/champions-league-model-accuracy): 58% of 753 matches called correctly (2021-22 to 2025-26, backtest: scored on held-out past matches, not predictions published before kick-off)
- [ATP predictions](https://www.predixsport.com/tennis_performance): 64% of 2,341 matches called correctly (2026)
- [WTA predictions](https://www.predixsport.com/wta_tennis_performance): 65% of 2,310 matches called correctly (2026)

- [Performance hub](https://www.predixsport.com/performance): accuracy and error for every model, by sport and season
- [Model transparency](https://www.predixsport.com/model-transparency): calibration curves, predicted against observed probabilities

## Start here
- [Home](https://www.predixsport.com/): today's predictions, the latest graded results and an index of every sport
- [Methodology](https://www.predixsport.com/methodology): how the forecasts are built (Elo and Glicko-2 ratings, one calibrated neural network per question, Monte Carlo simulations, explained key factors)
- [How to read a probability distribution](https://www.predixsport.com/blog/understanding-probability-distributions): the PDF and CDF charts on every match page, in plain language

## NBA
- [NBA predictions](https://www.predixsport.com/nba_predictions): win probability, total points and spread for every game, on game day
- [NBA player projections](https://www.predixsport.com/nba-player-projections): twelve box-score stats per player as full distributions, plus the week ahead
- [NBA title simulations](https://www.predixsport.com/nba_title_simulations): championship odds from 10,000 simulated seasons and the predicted playoff bracket
- [NBA Elo ratings](https://www.predixsport.com/nba-elo-ratings): team strength table and season progression
- [NBA team profiles](https://www.predixsport.com/nba-teams) and [player predictability](https://www.predixsport.com/nba-players)

## Euroleague
- [Euroleague predictions](https://www.predixsport.com/euroleague_predictions): win probability, totals and spread for every game, with the factors behind the pick
- [Euroleague player projections](https://www.predixsport.com/euroleague-player-projections): points, rebounds, assists, threes and PIR as full distributions
- [Euroleague title simulations](https://www.predixsport.com/euroleague_title_simulations): title odds and the predicted Play-In, quarterfinal and Final Four bracket
- [Euroleague Elo ratings](https://www.predixsport.com/euroleague-elo-ratings), [team profiles](https://www.predixsport.com/euroleague-teams) and [player predictability](https://www.predixsport.com/euroleague-players)

## Football
- [Football hub](https://www.predixsport.com/football): every covered league with its predictions, title race, ratings and record
- [Champions League match predictions](https://www.predixsport.com/champions_league_predictions): home, draw and away probabilities for every tournament match
- [Champions League title odds](https://www.predixsport.com/champions_league_title_simulations): 10,000 simulated competitions on European club Elo ratings
- Top flights: [Premier League](https://www.predixsport.com/premier_league_predictions), [La Liga](https://www.predixsport.com/la_liga_predictions), [Serie A](https://www.predixsport.com/serie_a_predictions), [Bundesliga](https://www.predixsport.com/bundesliga_predictions), [Ligue 1](https://www.predixsport.com/ligue_1_predictions)
- Second divisions: [Championship](https://www.predixsport.com/championship_predictions), [League One](https://www.predixsport.com/league_one_predictions), [League Two](https://www.predixsport.com/league_two_predictions), [Segunda División](https://www.predixsport.com/segunda_division_predictions), [Ligue 2](https://www.predixsport.com/ligue_2_predictions), [2. Bundesliga](https://www.predixsport.com/bundesliga_2_predictions), [Serie B](https://www.predixsport.com/serie_b_predictions)
- Across all leagues: [over/under 2.5](https://www.predixsport.com/football/over-under-predictions), [both teams to score](https://www.predixsport.com/football/btts-predictions), [corners](https://www.predixsport.com/football/corners-predictions), [goal margin](https://www.predixsport.com/football/spread-predictions), [draws](https://www.predixsport.com/football/draw-predictions)
- [Club profiles](https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs): Elo trajectory, season forecast and prediction record for about 250 clubs
- Each league also has a title race (for example [Serie A title race](https://www.predixsport.com/serie_a_title_simulations)), a ratings table and a record page, linked from its predictions page

## Tennis
- [ATP predictions](https://www.predixsport.com/tennis_predictions) and [WTA predictions](https://www.predixsport.com/wta_tennis_predictions): winner, total games, games spread, aces, double faults, tiebreak and exact set score for every match
- [ATP tournament odds](https://www.predixsport.com/tennis_atp_tournament_simulations) and [WTA tournament odds](https://www.predixsport.com/wta_tennis_tournament_simulations): 20,000 simulated brackets for every live draw
- [ATP power rankings](https://www.predixsport.com/tennis-power-rankings) and [WTA power rankings](https://www.predixsport.com/wta_tennis-power-rankings): Elo, Glicko-2, surface ratings and form, with a profile page per player
- [ATP aces and double faults](https://www.predixsport.com/tennis-aces-predictions) and [WTA aces and double faults](https://www.predixsport.com/wta_tennis-aces-predictions): per-player serve projections
- [ATP predictability](https://www.predixsport.com/tennis-predictability) and [WTA predictability](https://www.predixsport.com/wta_tennis-predictability): which players beat or miss the model's expectations this season

## Fantasy (public betas, advice only, nothing is ever submitted to a fantasy game)
- [Euroleague Fantasy Turn Card](https://www.predixsport.com/euroleague-fantasy-turn-card)
- [ATP Tennis Fantasy](https://www.predixsport.com/fantasy/tennis-atp)
- [Fantacalcio lineup assistant](https://www.predixsport.com/fantasy/fantacalcio) (Italian)
- [NBA Fantasy](https://www.predixsport.com/fantasy/nba): NBA Salary Cap and season-long points leagues

## How to use the data
- [Use Predixsport in Claude, Perplexity or ChatGPT](https://www.predixsport.com/mcp-setup): MCP connector, sign in once, no key to copy
- [Connector, API or download: which fits](https://www.predixsport.com/blog/predixsport-in-claude)
- [REST API](https://www.predixsport.com/api-access): JSON over HTTPS, free tier of 200 requests a month
- [Downloads](https://www.predixsport.com/blog/how-to-use-prediction-data): every match page offers its distributions as JSON or CSV after a free sign-in
- Ratings data is CC BY 4.0: free to reuse, commercially too, with a link. Embeddable widgets in the [widget gallery](https://www.predixsport.com/widgets), full histories on [Kaggle](https://www.kaggle.com/datasets/predixsport/sports-elo-ratings)

## Optional
- [llms-full.txt](https://www.predixsport.com/llms-full.txt): the detailed version of this file, with URL patterns, model scopes and API field notes for every page
- [Guides](https://www.predixsport.com/blog): ratings, simulations, explainable predictions and player predictability explained
- [Telegram channel](https://www.predixsport.com/telegram_channel): the day's predictions, free