Serie A 2024-2025: Verona vs Parma Prediction

Verona

Home Team
34%
VS

Parma

Away Team
41%
Draw: 24%
Over 2.5: 45%
Under 2.5: 55%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 29 19 7 3 65 27 38 64
2 Napoli 29 18 7 4 45 23 22 61
3 Atalanta 29 17 7 5 63 28 35 58
4 Bologna 29 14 11 4 49 34 15 53
5 Juventus 29 13 13 3 45 28 17 52
6 Lazio 29 15 6 8 50 41 9 51
7 Roma 29 14 7 8 44 30 14 49
8 Fiorentina 29 14 6 9 46 30 16 48
9 Milan 29 13 8 8 44 33 11 47
10 Udinese 29 11 7 11 35 39 -4 40
11 Torino 29 9 11 9 34 34 0 38
12 Genoa 29 8 11 10 28 37 -9 35
13 Como 29 7 8 14 35 46 -11 29
14 Verona 29 9 2 18 29 58 -29 29
15 Cagliari 29 6 8 15 28 44 -16 26
16 Lecce 29 6 7 16 21 48 -27 25
17 Parma 29 5 10 14 35 49 -14 25
18 Empoli 29 4 10 15 23 46 -23 22
19 Venezia 29 3 11 15 23 42 -19 20
20 Monza 29 2 9 18 24 49 -25 15

Recent Trends

Verona ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Udinese (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Bologna (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Juventus (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Fiorentina (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Milan (Goals: 0 - 1)

Parma ⚪ ⚪ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Monza (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Torino (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Udinese (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Bologna (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Roma (Goals: 0 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Verona

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.15
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.47
# Clean Sheets: 2

Parma

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.95
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.74
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Verona and Parma promises to be a tightly contested affair with a slight edge given to Parma. They have a 41.0% probability of securing victory against Verona’s 34.0% chance. Additionally, the game is anticipated to be a low-scoring affair, with only a 45.0% probability of exceeding 2.5 goals. Verona stands at 14th in the Serie A table, while Parma is in a precarious 17th position, making this match crucial for both sides.

Match Analysis

Both Verona and Parma have encountered their share of struggles in recent matches. Verona has experienced a mixed bag of results, with a notable 1-0 away victory against Udinese but suffering losses against Bologna and Juventus. Their defense has been porous, conceding an average of 2.0 goals in the last five outings, though they have managed two clean sheets in this period. Despite scoring difficulties, their expected goals (xG) suggest they have been creating decent opportunities, averaging 1.152 xG per game. Parma, on the other hand, has been grappling with inconsistency. They come into this fixture with back-to-back draws against Monza and Torino, following a narrow defeat to Udinese. The team's inability to maintain leads and convert chances has been evident, with an average of 0.8 goals scored in their last five matches. Their defensive frailties are also apparent, as they concede 1.6 goals on average, which could be problematic against a Verona side eager to capitalize at home.

Final Prediction

Parma's marginally better form and higher probability of victory give them the edge in this encounter. However, Verona's ability to hold teams at bay with clean sheets could pose a challenge for Parma’s attack. A key factor to watch will be whether Parma can tighten their defense against a Verona team desperate for points to steer clear of the relegation zone.