Serie A 2024-2025: Verona vs Bologna Prediction

Verona

Home Team
7%
VS

Bologna

Away Team
86%
Draw: 8%
Over 2.5: 48%
Under 2.5: 52%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 27 17 7 3 60 25 35 58
2 Napoli 27 17 6 4 43 22 21 57
3 Atalanta 27 16 7 4 59 26 33 55
4 Juventus 27 13 13 1 45 21 24 52
5 Lazio 27 15 5 7 49 35 14 50
6 Bologna 27 12 11 4 42 33 9 47
7 Fiorentina 27 13 6 8 42 28 14 45
8 Roma 27 12 7 8 42 30 12 43
9 Milan 27 11 8 8 39 30 9 41
10 Udinese 27 11 6 10 34 37 -3 39
11 Torino 27 8 10 9 31 32 -1 34
12 Genoa 27 7 10 10 25 35 -10 31
13 Como 27 7 7 13 33 43 -10 28
14 Verona 27 8 2 17 27 56 -29 26
15 Cagliari 27 6 7 14 27 42 -15 25
16 Lecce 27 6 7 14 18 43 -25 25
17 Parma 27 5 8 14 32 46 -14 23
18 Empoli 27 4 10 13 23 44 -21 22
19 Venezia 27 3 9 15 22 41 -19 18
20 Monza 27 2 8 17 21 45 -24 14

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Verona

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.03
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.47
# Clean Sheets: 2

Bologna

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.03
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.03
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming Serie A clash between Verona and Bologna is heavily tilted in favor of the visitors, with an 86.0% probability of Bologna emerging victorious. Verona, currently languishing at 14th in the standings, faces a formidable opponent in Bologna, who are positioned at a strong 6th place. The match is expected to remain low-scoring, with a 48.0% chance of staying under 2.5 goals.

Match Analysis

Verona's recent form has been a mixed bag, with only one win in their last three outings. They managed a narrow 1-0 victory at home against Fiorentina but suffered away defeats to Juventus and Milan without scoring a goal. Their attacking woes are evident, as Verona has averaged just 0.2 goals per game in their last five, although they have shown occasional defensive resilience with two clean sheets during this period. On the other hand, Bologna comes into this match with a more positive trajectory. They have secured two wins in their last three matches, overcoming both Cagliari and Milan with identical 2-1 scorelines, although they did stumble against Parma. Bologna's balanced approach is reflected in their average of one goal scored and conceded per match over the last five games, underpinning their solid defensive and offensive metrics.

Final Prediction

Bologna's superior standing and recent form give them the edge in this encounter. Their ability to consistently find the net and maintain defensive stability makes them favorites against a struggling Verona side. Key to watch will be Bologna's ability to capitalize on Verona's defensive lapses while maintaining their own defensive discipline to secure a crucial away victory.