Serie A 2024-2025: Venezia vs Monza Prediction

Venezia

Home Team
54%
VS

Monza

Away Team
22%
Draw: 24%
Over 2.5: 47%
Under 2.5: 53%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 31 20 8 3 69 30 39 68
2 Napoli 31 19 8 4 48 25 23 65
3 Atalanta 31 17 7 7 63 30 33 58
4 Bologna 31 15 12 4 51 35 16 57
5 Juventus 31 14 14 3 47 29 18 56
6 Lazio 31 16 7 8 52 42 10 55
7 Roma 31 15 8 8 46 31 15 53
8 Fiorentina 31 15 7 9 49 32 17 52
9 Milan 31 13 9 9 47 37 10 48
10 Torino 31 9 13 9 36 36 0 40
11 Udinese 31 11 7 13 36 42 -6 40
12 Genoa 31 9 11 11 29 38 -9 38
13 Como 31 8 9 14 39 48 -9 33
14 Verona 31 9 4 18 30 59 -29 31
15 Cagliari 31 7 9 15 31 44 -13 30
16 Parma 31 5 12 14 37 51 -14 27
17 Lecce 31 6 8 17 22 50 -28 26
18 Empoli 31 4 12 15 24 47 -23 24
19 Venezia 31 3 12 16 24 44 -20 21
20 Monza 31 2 9 20 25 55 -30 15

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Venezia

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.87
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.53
# Clean Sheets: 2

Monza

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.65
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.99
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

Venezia is predicted to triumph in their upcoming clash with Monza, boasting a 54.0% probability of a home win. Meanwhile, Monza's chances stand at a modest 22.0%, with a draw at 24.0%. With Venezia currently in 19th place and Monza at the bottom of the Serie A standings, both teams are fighting to avoid relegation. The game is also expected to be a low-scoring affair, with a 47.0% probability of under 2.5 goals.

Match Analysis

In recent performances, Venezia has shown a mixed bag of results. They managed to secure a point against Lecce with a 1-1 draw away, followed by a narrow 1-0 home defeat to Bologna, and a commendable goalless draw against Napoli at home. Despite their struggles in front of goal, evidenced by an average of just 0.2 goals per game over their last five, they have managed to keep two clean sheets, suggesting a resilient defensive setup. Monza, meanwhile, has been in a tougher spot, suffering a 3-1 defeat to Como at home, a heavy 3-0 loss away to Cagliari, and a 1-1 draw with Parma at home. Their defensive vulnerabilities are stark, having conceded an average of 3.4 goals per game in their last five outings, with no clean sheets to show for their efforts. This defensive frailty could be a significant factor against a Venezia side eager to capitalize on any lapses.

Final Prediction

Venezia's edge lies in their ability to occasionally tighten up defensively, which could prove crucial against Monza's porous defense. Fans should keep an eye on Venezia's ability to exploit Monza's defensive inconsistencies, which might just tip the scales in their favor. The battle at the bottom promises an intriguing clash, with both teams desperate to claw their way out of the relegation zone.