Serie A 2024-2025: Venezia vs Lazio Prediction
Venezia
Home Team
4%
VS
Lazio
Away Team
91%
Draw: 5%
Over 2.5:
56%
Under 2.5:
44%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Napoli | 25 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 19 | 22 | 56 |
| 2 | Inter | 25 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 58 | 24 | 34 | 54 |
| 3 | Atalanta | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 54 | 26 | 28 | 51 |
| 4 | Juventus | 25 | 11 | 13 | 1 | 42 | 21 | 21 | 46 |
| 5 | Lazio | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 46 |
| 6 | Fiorentina | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 42 |
| 7 | Milan | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 24 | 12 | 41 |
| 8 | Bologna | 24 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 41 |
| 9 | Roma | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 37 |
| 10 | Udinese | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 33 |
| 11 | Genoa | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 33 | -9 | 30 |
| 12 | Torino | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 28 |
| 13 | Como | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 25 |
| 14 | Cagliari | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 25 |
| 15 | Lecce | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 25 |
| 16 | Verona | 25 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 23 |
| 17 | Empoli | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 21 |
| 18 | Parma | 25 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 20 |
| 19 | Venezia | 25 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 16 |
| 20 | Monza | 25 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 14 |
Recent Trends
Venezia
- Last Match: vs Genoa (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Roma (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Udinese (Goals: 2 - 3)
- 4th Last Match: vs Verona (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Parma (Goals: 1 - 1)
Lazio
- Last Match: vs Napoli (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Monza (Goals: 5 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Cagliari (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Fiorentina (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Verona (Goals: 3 - 0)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Venezia
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.86
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.16
# Clean Sheets:
0
Lazio
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.49
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.36
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming Serie A clash between Venezia and Lazio is heavily tilted in favor of Lazio, with a staggering 91% probability of victory for the away team. Meanwhile, Venezia's chances of pulling off an upset stand at a mere 4%, with a 5% likelihood of the match ending in a draw. Currently, Lazio is positioned 5th in the standings, vying for a Champions League spot, while Venezia languishes at 19th, battling relegation. The match is expected to witness over 2.5 goals, given the 56% probability of such an outcome.
Match Analysis
Venezia has had a challenging run, suffering three consecutive defeats against Genoa, Roma, and Udinese, scoring only twice while conceding six goals. Their recent performances highlight a struggle both defensively and offensively, with an average of 0.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over the last five games. Additionally, their expected goals conceded metric of 2.162 indicates their defensive vulnerabilities.
On the other hand, Lazio comes into this match with greater momentum, having drawn against high-flying Napoli and secured victories over Monza and Cagliari. Lazio's attacking prowess is evident, averaging 1.6 goals scored per game in their last five matches, supported by an expected goals metric of 1.486. Their defense has also been relatively solid, conceding 0.8 goals on average, and they have managed one clean sheet during this period.
Final Prediction
Lazio's superior form and standings position give them a clear advantage in this fixture. With a potent attack and a more resilient defense, Lazio is poised to capitalize on Venezia's vulnerabilities. A key factor to watch during the game will be Lazio's ability to exploit Venezia's leaky defense and maintain their offensive rhythm to secure a vital away win.