Serie A 2024-2025: Udinese vs Parma Prediction

Udinese

Home Team
63%
VS

Parma

Away Team
18%
Draw: 19%
Over 2.5: 44%
Under 2.5: 56%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 26 17 6 3 59 24 35 57
2 Napoli 26 17 5 4 42 21 21 56
3 Atalanta 26 16 6 4 59 26 33 54
4 Juventus 26 12 13 1 43 21 22 49
5 Lazio 26 14 5 7 47 34 13 47
6 Bologna 26 11 11 4 40 32 8 44
7 Fiorentina 26 12 6 8 41 28 13 42
8 Milan 26 11 8 7 38 28 10 41
9 Roma 26 11 7 8 40 29 11 40
10 Udinese 26 10 6 10 33 37 -4 36
11 Torino 26 7 10 9 29 32 -3 31
12 Genoa 26 7 9 10 24 34 -10 30
13 Como 26 7 7 12 32 41 -9 28
14 Verona 26 8 2 16 27 54 -27 26
15 Cagliari 26 6 7 13 26 40 -14 25
16 Lecce 26 6 7 13 18 42 -24 25
17 Parma 26 5 8 13 32 45 -13 23
18 Empoli 26 4 9 13 22 43 -21 21
19 Venezia 26 3 8 15 22 41 -19 17
20 Monza 26 2 8 16 21 43 -22 14

Recent Trends

Udinese ✅ ✅ ⚪ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Lecce (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Empoli (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Napoli (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Venezia (Goals: 3 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Roma (Goals: 1 - 2)

Parma ✅ ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Bologna (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Roma (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Cagliari (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Lecce (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Milan (Goals: 2 - 3)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Udinese

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.59
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.46
# Clean Sheets: 2

Parma

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.89
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.48
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

Udinese is poised to secure victory against Parma with a 63.0% likelihood of winning. With Parma only holding an 18.0% chance of taking the win, the odds heavily favor Udinese, currently placed 10th in Serie A. The match is also predicted to have fewer than 2.5 goals, with a 44.0% chance of exceeding that threshold. Parma, sitting at 17th, faces the risk of relegation, which adds an extra layer of pressure.

Match Analysis

Looking at their recent form, Udinese has been impressive, securing two wins and one draw in their last three matches. They claimed a narrow victory against Lecce and a more commanding win over Empoli, both without conceding a goal. This recent performance shows their defensive resilience and ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities, as evidenced by their average scoring rate of 1.8 goals per game over the last five matches. Conversely, Parma has been struggling, managing only one win in their last three outings. Their recent loss to Roma and a defeat against Cagliari highlight defensive vulnerabilities, with an average of 2.2 goals conceded per game in the past five matches. Parma’s offensive struggles are also evident, averaging only 0.6 goals per game, which will be a crucial factor against Udinese’s solid defense.

Final Prediction

Udinese’s recent performances and solid defensive record give them a clear advantage over Parma. The Friuli-based team’s ability to maintain clean sheets and capitalize on scoring chances positions them as favorites. Keep an eye on Udinese’s defense; their ability to shut down Parma’s already struggling offense could be the key factor that decides the match.