Serie A 2024-2025: Udinese vs Milan Prediction

Udinese

Home Team
16%
VS

Milan

Away Team
71%
Draw: 13%
Over 2.5: 58%
Under 2.5: 42%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 31 20 8 3 69 30 39 68
2 Napoli 31 19 8 4 48 25 23 65
3 Atalanta 31 17 7 7 63 30 33 58
4 Bologna 31 15 12 4 51 35 16 57
5 Juventus 31 14 14 3 47 29 18 56
6 Lazio 31 16 7 8 52 42 10 55
7 Roma 31 15 8 8 46 31 15 53
8 Fiorentina 31 15 7 9 49 32 17 52
9 Milan 31 13 9 9 47 37 10 48
10 Torino 31 9 13 9 36 36 0 40
11 Udinese 31 11 7 13 36 42 -6 40
12 Genoa 31 9 11 11 29 38 -9 38
13 Como 31 8 9 14 39 48 -9 33
14 Verona 31 9 4 18 30 59 -29 31
15 Cagliari 31 7 9 15 31 44 -13 30
16 Parma 31 5 12 14 37 51 -14 27
17 Lecce 31 6 8 17 22 50 -28 26
18 Empoli 31 4 12 15 24 47 -23 24
19 Venezia 31 3 12 16 24 44 -20 21
20 Monza 31 2 9 20 25 55 -30 15

Recent Trends

Udinese ❌ ❌ ❌ ⚪ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Genoa (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Inter (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Verona (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Lazio (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Parma (Goals: 1 - 0)

Milan ⚪ ❌ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Fiorentina (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Napoli (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Como (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Lecce (Goals: 3 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Lazio (Goals: 1 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Udinese

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.41
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.52
# Clean Sheets: 1

Milan

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.24
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.14
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming Serie A clash between Udinese and Milan is predicted to favor the away team, Milan, with a significant 71.0% probability of winning. Udinese, currently sitting 11th in the league, faces an uphill battle against 9th-placed Milan. The game is also expected to be high-scoring, with a 58.0% probability of over 2.5 goals being scored.

Match Analysis

Udinese enters this match on a challenging streak, having lost their last three games. Their recent performances include a narrow home defeat to Verona and away losses to Genoa and league leaders Inter. Despite these setbacks, Udinese has managed an average of 1.6 goals per game over their last five matches, although their goal-scoring potential hasn't translated into positive results recently. Conversely, Milan's recent form has been mixed, featuring a win against Como, a draw with Fiorentina, and a defeat to Napoli. Milan's attacking output remains consistent, averaging 1.6 goals per game in their last five fixtures. They also boast a higher expected goals statistic (2.238) compared to Udinese (1.408), highlighting their offensive capabilities. However, Milan's defense has been leaky, with no clean sheets in their last five matches and an average of 1.6 goals conceded per game.

Final Prediction

Milan's edge in this matchup is underscored by their superior attacking metrics and recent performances against stronger opponents. Their ability to create scoring opportunities could be pivotal in overcoming Udinese's home advantage. A key factor to watch will be Milan's defensive resilience, as containing Udinese's occasional offensive bursts could secure them a vital victory.