Serie A 2024-2025: Torino vs Milan Prediction
Torino
Home Team
13%
VS
Milan
Away Team
74%
Draw: 12%
Over 2.5:
46%
Under 2.5:
54%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Napoli | 25 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 19 | 22 | 56 |
| 2 | Inter | 25 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 58 | 24 | 34 | 54 |
| 3 | Atalanta | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 54 | 26 | 28 | 51 |
| 4 | Juventus | 25 | 11 | 13 | 1 | 42 | 21 | 21 | 46 |
| 5 | Lazio | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 46 |
| 6 | Fiorentina | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 42 |
| 7 | Milan | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 24 | 12 | 41 |
| 8 | Bologna | 24 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 41 |
| 9 | Roma | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 37 |
| 10 | Udinese | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 33 |
| 11 | Genoa | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 33 | -9 | 30 |
| 12 | Torino | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 28 |
| 13 | Como | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 25 |
| 14 | Cagliari | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 25 |
| 15 | Lecce | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 25 |
| 16 | Verona | 25 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 23 |
| 17 | Empoli | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 21 |
| 18 | Parma | 25 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 20 |
| 19 | Venezia | 25 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 16 |
| 20 | Monza | 25 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 14 |
Recent Trends
Torino
- Last Match: vs Bologna (Goals: 2 - 3)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Genoa (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Atalanta (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Cagliari (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Fiorentina (Goals: 1 - 1)
Milan
- Last Match: vs Verona (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Empoli (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Inter (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Parma (Goals: 3 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Juventus (Goals: 0 - 2)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Torino
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.93
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.73
# Clean Sheets:
1
Milan
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.36
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.43
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Torino and Milan is predicted to swing heavily in favor of Milan, with a 74.00% probability of an away victory. In contrast, Torino has only a 13.00% chance of securing a win. The match is also expected to have fewer than 2.5 goals scored, as indicated by the 46.00% probability of this outcome. In the Serie A standings, Milan sits at 7th place with 41 points, while Torino is further down the table in 12th place with 28 points.
Match Analysis
Torino heads into this match with a mixed bag of recent performances. Their last three games include a narrow 3-2 loss against Bologna, and two 1-1 draws against Genoa and Atalanta. Despite showing resilience in drawing with Atalanta, Torino's attack has been relatively muted, averaging just 0.8 goals per game in their last five matches. On the defensive front, they've managed to keep one clean sheet in the same period, conceding an average of 0.8 goals per game.
Milan, on the other hand, has had a slightly more promising run. They secured a 1-0 victory over Verona and a solid 2-0 win against Empoli, followed by a 1-1 draw with rivals Inter. Milan's attack has been more productive, with an average of 1.2 goals per game over their last five matches. Defensively, they have kept two clean sheets, indicating a slightly tighter backline. Their expected goals metrics suggest they are creating more chances than they concede, with an average of 1.362 expected goals scored compared to 1.432 expected goals conceded.
Final Prediction
Milan's recent form and superior league standing give them a clear edge in this matchup. Their ability to score and maintain defensive solidity will be crucial against a Torino side that has struggled to find consistent form. Key to watch will be Milan's ability to convert their expected goals into actual goals, which could be decisive in overcoming Torino's defenses.