Serie A 2024-2025: Torino vs Empoli Prediction

Torino

Home Team
75%
VS

Empoli

Away Team
11%
Draw: 14%
Over 2.5: 43%
Under 2.5: 57%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 28 18 7 3 63 27 36 61
2 Napoli 28 18 6 4 45 23 22 60
3 Atalanta 28 17 7 4 63 26 37 58
4 Juventus 28 13 13 2 45 25 20 52
5 Lazio 28 15 6 7 50 36 14 51
6 Bologna 28 13 11 4 44 34 10 50
7 Roma 28 13 7 8 43 30 13 46
8 Fiorentina 28 13 6 9 43 30 13 45
9 Milan 28 12 8 8 42 32 10 44
10 Udinese 28 11 7 10 35 38 -3 40
11 Torino 28 8 11 9 33 34 -1 35
12 Genoa 28 7 11 10 26 36 -10 32
13 Como 28 7 8 13 34 44 -10 29
14 Cagliari 28 6 8 14 28 43 -15 26
15 Verona 28 8 2 18 28 58 -30 26
16 Lecce 28 6 7 15 20 46 -26 25
17 Parma 28 5 9 14 34 48 -14 24
18 Empoli 28 4 10 14 23 45 -22 22
19 Venezia 28 3 10 15 23 42 -19 19
20 Monza 28 2 8 18 23 48 -25 14

Recent Trends

Torino ⚪ ✅ ✅ ❌ ⚪

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Parma (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Monza (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Milan (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Bologna (Goals: 2 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Genoa (Goals: 1 - 1)

Empoli ❌ ⚪ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Roma (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Genoa (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Atalanta (Goals: 0 - 5)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Udinese (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Milan (Goals: 0 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Torino

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.99
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.81
# Clean Sheets: 1

Empoli

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.27
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.45
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Torino and Empoli promises to be a decisive encounter, with the home side Torino being strong favorites, boasting a 75% probability of victory. Empoli, on the other hand, faces an uphill battle with an 11% chance of triumphing. Given the likelihood of under 2.5 goals at 57%, the match is expected to be relatively low-scoring. In Serie A standings, Torino currently occupies the 11th spot, while Empoli struggles near the relegation zone in 18th place.

Match Analysis

Torino enters this fixture with a positive momentum, evidenced by their recent performances. They secured a commendable away win against Monza and a hard-fought victory over Milan at home, showing resilience and an ability to grind out results. Their recent draw against Parma away from home further demonstrates their capacity to secure points in challenging situations. Key metrics for Torino indicate a solid defensive setup, with an average of just 0.6 goals conceded over the last five games. They also maintain an expected goals conceded rate of 0.806, showcasing their defensive discipline. Empoli, in contrast, has struggled to find form, with a recent loss to Roma highlighting their vulnerabilities. A disheartening 5-0 defeat at home against Atalanta further underscores their defensive frailties, as they have conceded an average of 2.4 goals per game in their last five outings. Despite creating decent chances, with an expected goals rate of 1.272, they have not translated these into tangible results, failing to keep any clean sheets in recent matches. This defensive instability could be a significant factor against a more stable Torino side.

Final Prediction

Torino's edge in this matchup is largely due to their recent form and defensive solidity, which starkly contrasts with Empoli's struggles both in attack and defense. The key factor for fans to watch during the game will be Torino's ability to maintain their defensive discipline while exploiting Empoli's defensive weaknesses, potentially making it a challenging afternoon for the visitors.