Serie A 2024-2025: Roma vs Verona Prediction

Roma

Home Team
87%
VS

Verona

Away Team
5%
Draw: 8%
Over 2.5: 43%
Under 2.5: 57%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 32 21 8 3 72 31 41 71
2 Napoli 32 20 8 4 51 25 26 68
3 Atalanta 32 18 7 7 65 30 35 61
4 Juventus 32 15 14 3 49 30 19 59
5 Bologna 32 15 12 5 51 37 14 57
6 Lazio 32 16 8 8 53 43 10 56
7 Roma 32 15 9 8 47 32 15 54
8 Fiorentina 32 15 8 9 49 32 17 53
9 Milan 32 14 9 9 51 37 14 51
10 Torino 32 9 13 10 36 37 -1 40
11 Udinese 32 11 7 14 36 46 -10 40
12 Genoa 32 9 12 11 29 38 -9 39
13 Como 32 9 9 14 40 48 -8 36
14 Verona 32 9 5 18 30 59 -29 32
15 Cagliari 32 7 9 16 32 47 -15 30
16 Parma 32 5 13 14 37 51 -14 28
17 Lecce 32 6 8 18 23 52 -29 26
18 Venezia 32 4 12 16 25 44 -19 24
19 Empoli 32 4 12 16 24 50 -26 24
20 Monza 32 2 9 21 25 56 -31 15

Recent Trends

Roma ⚪ ⚪ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Lazio (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Juventus (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Lecce (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Cagliari (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Empoli (Goals: 1 - 0)

Verona ⚪ ⚪ ⚪ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Genoa (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Torino (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Parma (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Udinese (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Bologna (Goals: 1 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Roma

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.42
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.82
# Clean Sheets: 3

Verona

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.67
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.08
# Clean Sheets: 3

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming Serie A clash between Roma and Verona is heavily skewed in favor of the home side, Roma, with an 87.0% probability of them securing a victory. The likelihood of a Verona upset stands at a mere 5.0%, while a draw is considered an 8.0% possibility. This game is predicted to be a low-scoring affair, with a 43.0% chance of over 2.5 goals, suggesting the match will likely feature under 2.5 goals. In the league standings, Roma is currently 7th, fighting for European spots, whereas Verona is 14th, battling to stay clear of relegation.

Match Analysis

Roma's recent form has shown stability, with a win against Lecce and draws against stronger opponents like Lazio and Juventus. Their defensive solidity is underscored by three clean sheets in their last five matches, conceding just 0.6 goals on average. Offensively, Roma has managed to score an average of 1.8 goals per game recently, bolstered by an expected goals metric of 1.42, indicating a consistent attacking threat. Conversely, Verona has struggled to convert their efforts into victories, coming off three consecutive draws. Their offensive output has been lackluster, scoring an average of just 0.6 goals per game, and their expected goals of 0.67 reflect this challenge. Defensively, they have been relatively resilient, with an average of 0.8 goals conceded per game and three clean sheets in their last five outings, suggesting they can be tough to break down.

Final Prediction

Roma's edge in this contest is primarily due to their superior attacking capabilities and solid defensive performances, as reflected in their recent clean sheets and higher goal-scoring averages. A key factor to watch will be Roma's ability to break down Verona's defense, which has been their strength in recent matches. Fans should keep an eye on Roma's attacking players, as their ability to convert chances may well determine the outcome of this fixture.