Serie A 2024-2025: Roma vs Juventus Prediction

Roma

Home Team
45%
VS

Juventus

Away Team
30%
Draw: 25%
Over 2.5: 45%
Under 2.5: 55%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 30 20 7 3 67 28 39 67
2 Napoli 30 19 7 4 47 24 23 64
3 Atalanta 30 17 7 6 63 29 34 58
4 Bologna 30 15 11 4 50 34 16 56
5 Juventus 30 14 13 3 46 28 18 55
6 Roma 30 15 7 8 45 30 15 52
7 Lazio 30 15 7 8 51 42 9 52
8 Fiorentina 30 15 6 9 47 30 17 51
9 Milan 30 13 8 9 45 35 10 47
10 Udinese 30 11 7 12 36 41 -5 40
11 Torino 30 9 12 9 35 35 0 39
12 Genoa 30 8 11 11 28 38 -10 35
13 Como 30 7 9 14 36 47 -11 30
14 Verona 30 9 3 18 29 58 -29 30
15 Cagliari 30 7 8 15 31 44 -13 29
16 Parma 30 5 11 14 35 49 -14 26
17 Lecce 30 6 7 17 21 49 -28 25
18 Empoli 30 4 11 15 24 47 -23 23
19 Venezia 30 3 11 16 23 43 -20 20
20 Monza 30 2 9 19 24 52 -28 15

Recent Trends

Roma ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Lecce (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Cagliari (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Empoli (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Como (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Monza (Goals: 4 - 0)

Juventus ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Genoa (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Fiorentina (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Atalanta (Goals: 0 - 4)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Verona (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Cagliari (Goals: 1 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Roma

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.51
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.72
# Clean Sheets: 4

Juventus

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.49
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.12
# Clean Sheets: 3

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Roma and Juventus is predicted to favor Roma with a 45.0% probability of winning, while Juventus has a 30.0% chance of securing victory. The likelihood of a draw stands at 25.0%. The match is expected to feature fewer goals, with a 45.0% probability for under 2.5 goals. Currently, Juventus sits in 5th place in the Serie A standings, while Roma is in 6th, just three points behind.

Match Analysis

Roma enters this fixture on a strong note, having secured three consecutive wins against Lecce, Cagliari, and Empoli, all with a 1-0 scoreline. This streak highlights their defensive solidity, as they have maintained clean sheets in each of these encounters. In their last five matches, Roma has averaged 2.2 goals scored and conceded just 0.6 per game, demonstrating their efficiency at both ends of the pitch. Their expected goals metrics further underline their consistent attacking threat, with 1.506 expected goals scored per game. Conversely, Juventus has experienced a more turbulent form, winning only one of their last three matches against Genoa, while suffering heavy defeats to Fiorentina and Atalanta. With an average of just 1.0 goal scored and 1.4 conceded in their recent games, Juventus has struggled to find the net consistently. Despite these challenges, they boast an average of 1.488 expected goals scored, indicating potential that has yet to fully materialize on the pitch. Defensively, their record of three clean sheets in the last five matches suggests moments of resilience.

Final Prediction

Roma's recent form and defensive robustness give them a significant edge in this encounter. Their ability to maintain clean sheets and capitalize on scoring opportunities makes them a formidable opponent for Juventus. A key factor to watch during the game will be Roma's defensive organization, which could be decisive in controlling Juventus's attacking efforts.