Serie A 2024-2025: Roma vs Como Prediction

Roma

Home Team
88%
VS

Como

Away Team
5%
Draw: 7%
Over 2.5: 45%
Under 2.5: 55%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 26 17 6 3 59 24 35 57
2 Napoli 26 17 5 4 42 21 21 56
3 Atalanta 26 16 6 4 59 26 33 54
4 Juventus 26 12 13 1 43 21 22 49
5 Lazio 26 14 5 7 47 34 13 47
6 Bologna 26 11 11 4 40 32 8 44
7 Fiorentina 26 12 6 8 41 28 13 42
8 Milan 26 11 8 7 38 28 10 41
9 Roma 26 11 7 8 40 29 11 40
10 Udinese 26 10 6 10 33 37 -4 36
11 Torino 26 7 10 9 29 32 -3 31
12 Genoa 26 7 9 10 24 34 -10 30
13 Como 26 7 7 12 32 41 -9 28
14 Verona 26 8 2 16 27 54 -27 26
15 Cagliari 26 6 7 13 26 40 -14 25
16 Lecce 26 6 7 13 18 42 -24 25
17 Parma 26 5 8 13 32 45 -13 23
18 Empoli 26 4 9 13 22 43 -21 21
19 Venezia 26 3 8 15 22 41 -19 17
20 Monza 26 2 8 16 21 43 -22 14

Recent Trends

Roma ✅ ✅ ✅ ⚪ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Monza (Goals: 4 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Parma (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Venezia (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Napoli (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Udinese (Goals: 2 - 1)

Como ✅ ✅ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Napoli (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Fiorentina (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Juventus (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Bologna (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Atalanta (Goals: 1 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Roma

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.22
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.63
# Clean Sheets: 3

Como

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.91
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.07
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Roma and Como is heavily tilted in favor of Roma, with an impressive 88.0% probability of them clinching victory. Como's chances seem slim at just 5.0%, while the likelihood of a draw stands at 7.0%. As for the goal tally, expectations lean towards a more conservative game with a 45.0% probability of the match ending with fewer than 2.5 goals. In the current Serie A standings, Roma holds the 9th position, while Como trails in 13th place.

Match Analysis

Roma enters this fixture riding a wave of confidence, having secured three consecutive victories in their recent matches. They demonstrated a strong defensive stance with three clean sheets, and their attacking prowess was underscored by a 4-0 home victory against Monza. These performances highlight Roma's formidable form both at home and away. Their advanced metrics further affirm their dominance, with an average of 3.0 goals scored and a mere 0.4 goals conceded per game over the last five matches. On the flip side, Como has shown resilience with notable wins against Napoli and Fiorentina. However, their campaign was slightly dented by a home loss to Juventus. Despite these mixed results, Como's attacking and defensive records are less impressive than Roma's, with an average of 1.0 goals scored and 1.4 goals conceded per game in the last five outings. Their expected goals metrics suggest a potential struggle to penetrate Roma's defense.

Final Prediction

Roma's recent form and superior advanced metrics give them a clear edge over Como in this encounter. Their robust defense, combined with a potent attack, will likely prove too challenging for Como to overcome. A key factor to watch will be Roma's ability to maintain their defensive solidity, which could set the stage for another clean sheet and a commanding victory.