Serie A 2024-2025: Parma vs Torino Prediction

Parma

Home Team
42%
VS

Torino

Away Team
33%
Draw: 25%
Over 2.5: 41%
Under 2.5: 59%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 27 17 7 3 60 25 35 58
2 Napoli 27 17 6 4 43 22 21 57
3 Atalanta 27 16 7 4 59 26 33 55
4 Juventus 27 13 13 1 45 21 24 52
5 Lazio 27 15 5 7 49 35 14 50
6 Bologna 27 12 11 4 42 33 9 47
7 Fiorentina 27 13 6 8 42 28 14 45
8 Roma 27 12 7 8 42 30 12 43
9 Milan 27 11 8 8 39 30 9 41
10 Udinese 27 11 6 10 34 37 -3 39
11 Torino 27 8 10 9 31 32 -1 34
12 Genoa 27 7 10 10 25 35 -10 31
13 Como 27 7 7 13 33 43 -10 28
14 Verona 27 8 2 17 27 56 -29 26
15 Cagliari 27 6 7 14 27 42 -15 25
16 Lecce 27 6 7 14 18 43 -25 25
17 Parma 27 5 8 14 32 46 -14 23
18 Empoli 27 4 10 13 23 44 -21 22
19 Venezia 27 3 9 15 22 41 -19 18
20 Monza 27 2 8 17 21 45 -24 14

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Parma

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.30
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.25
# Clean Sheets: 1

Torino

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.97
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.09
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Parma and Torino is expected to be a closely contested affair. With a 42.0% probability, Parma is the predicted winner, while Torino has a 33.0% chance of snatching victory. The likelihood of a draw stands at 25.0%. Both teams are positioned in the lower half of the Serie A standings, with Parma in 17th and Torino in 11th place. Additionally, the match is predicted to have under 2.5 goals, with a 41.0% probability for this outcome.

Match Analysis

In their recent performances, Parma has shown a mixed form. They've been inconsistent, managing a crucial 2-0 home victory against Bologna, but also suffering narrow 0-1 defeats to both Udinese and Roma. Their ability to score has been limited, averaging 1.2 goals scored and conceded over the past five games. However, their expected goals metrics suggest they are creating opportunities, with an average of 1.304 expected goals scored per game. Torino, on the other hand, has displayed a slightly more positive trend. After a 2-0 triumph away at Monza and a solid 2-1 victory over Milan at home, they stumbled in a 2-3 defeat away to Bologna. Torino has been more potent in attack, with an average of 1.6 goals scored in their last five outings. Despite this, their defense remains a concern, conceding 1.4 goals on average, and their expected goals conceded indicate vulnerability, standing at 2.09.

Final Prediction

Parma's slight edge in this matchup may come from their home advantage and Torino's defensive fragility. The expected goals metrics suggest Parma could capitalize on Torino's defensive lapses. Fans should keep an eye on how Parma manages their opportunities, as converting chances could be key to securing the predicted victory.