Serie A 2024-2025: Parma vs Juventus Prediction

Parma

Home Team
10%
VS

Juventus

Away Team
80%
Draw: 9%
Over 2.5: 40%
Under 2.5: 60%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 33 21 8 4 72 32 40 71
2 Napoli 33 21 8 4 52 25 27 71
3 Atalanta 33 19 7 7 66 30 36 64
4 Bologna 33 16 12 5 52 37 15 60
5 Juventus 32 15 14 3 49 30 19 59
6 Roma 33 16 9 8 48 32 16 57
7 Lazio 32 16 8 8 53 43 10 56
8 Fiorentina 32 15 8 9 49 32 17 53
9 Milan 33 14 9 10 51 38 13 51
10 Torino 32 9 13 10 36 37 -1 40
11 Udinese 32 11 7 14 36 46 -10 40
12 Genoa 32 9 12 11 29 38 -9 39
13 Como 33 10 9 14 43 48 -5 39
14 Verona 33 9 5 19 30 60 -30 32
15 Cagliari 32 7 9 16 32 47 -15 30
16 Parma 32 5 13 14 37 51 -14 28
17 Lecce 33 6 8 19 23 55 -32 26
18 Venezia 33 4 13 16 27 46 -19 25
19 Empoli 33 4 13 16 26 52 -26 25
20 Monza 33 2 9 22 25 57 -32 15

Recent Trends

Parma ⚪ ⚪ ⚪ ⚪ ⚪

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Fiorentina (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Inter (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Verona (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Monza (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Torino (Goals: 2 - 2)

Juventus ✅ ⚪ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Lecce (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Roma (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Genoa (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Fiorentina (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Atalanta (Goals: 0 - 4)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Parma

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.37
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.15
# Clean Sheets: 2

Juventus

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.23
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.08
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Parma and Juventus sees the visiting side heavily favored with an 80.0% probability of securing a victory. Parma, languishing in 16th place, has a slim 10.0% chance of pulling off an upset. This game is anticipated to be low-scoring, with a 40.0% probability for over 2.5 goals, suggesting a tighter defensive match. While Juventus is in a fight for a top-four finish, currently sitting 5th, Parma is in a battle to avoid relegation.

Match Analysis

In their last three outings, Parma has managed to avoid defeat but has not secured a win, drawing each of their matches. They had a commendable home draw against top-tier Inter, showing resilience with a 2-2 scoreline, and have kept clean sheets against Fiorentina and Verona. Despite these efforts, Parma's scoring ability remains limited, with an average of only 1.4 goals in their last five matches. Their defense, although showing some improvement, still concedes an average of 1.6 goals per game. Juventus, meanwhile, has been steady, collecting a win and two draws in their last three games. They showed defensive strength in a 1-0 victory over Genoa and exhibited their customary resilience in a 1-1 draw away at Roma. Despite this, Juventus has not been prolific in front of goal, averaging just 1.0 goal per game in their last five matches. However, their expected goals (1.23) suggest they are creating opportunities that could convert into goals with sharper finishing.

Final Prediction

Juventus holds the advantage due to their superior squad depth and recent form, despite not being at their attacking best. With Parma's struggles in finding the net consistently, Juventus’s disciplined defense could be a decisive factor. A key element to watch will be whether Juventus can capitalize on their chances and secure the much-needed points to bolster their Champions League aspirations.