Serie A 2024-2025: Parma vs Bologna Prediction

Parma

Home Team
12%
VS

Bologna

Away Team
76%
Draw: 12%
Over 2.5: 49%
Under 2.5: 51%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 25 17 5 3 41 19 22 56
2 Inter 25 16 6 3 58 24 34 54
3 Atalanta 25 15 6 4 54 26 28 51
4 Juventus 25 11 13 1 42 21 21 46
5 Lazio 25 14 4 7 47 34 13 46
6 Fiorentina 25 12 6 7 41 27 14 42
7 Milan 24 11 8 5 36 24 12 41
8 Bologna 24 10 11 3 38 29 9 41
9 Roma 25 10 7 8 36 29 7 37
10 Udinese 25 9 6 10 32 37 -5 33
11 Genoa 25 7 9 9 24 33 -9 30
12 Torino 25 6 10 9 27 31 -4 28
13 Como 25 6 7 12 30 40 -10 25
14 Cagliari 25 6 7 12 26 39 -13 25
15 Lecce 25 6 7 12 18 41 -23 25
16 Verona 25 7 2 16 26 54 -28 23
17 Empoli 25 4 9 12 22 38 -16 21
18 Parma 25 4 8 13 30 45 -15 20
19 Venezia 25 3 7 15 22 41 -19 16
20 Monza 25 2 8 15 21 39 -18 14

Recent Trends

Parma ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌ ⚪

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Roma (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Cagliari (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Lecce (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Milan (Goals: 2 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Venezia (Goals: 1 - 1)

Bologna ✅ ⚪ ✅ ⚪ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Torino (Goals: 3 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Lecce (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Como (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Empoli (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Monza (Goals: 3 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Parma

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.48
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.85
# Clean Sheets: 0

Bologna

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.05
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.92
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

Bologna is heavily favored to win in their upcoming clash against Parma, with a substantial 76.00% probability of securing a victory. On the other hand, Parma has just a 12.00% chance of pulling off an upset at home. Given their respective standings, Bologna sits comfortably in 8th place, while Parma is struggling in 18th, battling relegation. The match is expected to be low-scoring, with a probability of under 2.5 goals at 51.00%.

Match Analysis

Parma’s recent form has been disappointing, suffering three consecutive losses. Their defeats against Roma, Cagliari, and Lecce highlight their defensive vulnerabilities, having conceded six goals while managing to score just twice. This trend is reflected in their advanced metrics, revealing an average of 1.8 goals conceded per game over their last five matches, with no clean sheets. Parma's attack, averaging 1.2 goals per game, has struggled to convert chances into points, as indicated by their expected goals of 1.484. In contrast, Bologna comes into this fixture with a more positive run, having secured two wins and a draw in their last three games. Their victories over Torino and Como, coupled with a goalless draw against Lecce, emphasize their defensive resilience, evidenced by two clean sheets in their last five matches. Bologna's defense has been robust, conceding only 1.0 goals per game on average, while their attack has been efficient, scoring 1.4 goals per game. The expected goals metrics also suggest a solid defensive performance, with an average of 0.918 expected goals conceded.

Final Prediction

Bologna's superior form and defensive solidity give them a clear edge in this matchup against a struggling Parma side. Their ability to maintain clean sheets and capitalize on scoring opportunities should be pivotal in securing a victory. A key factor to watch will be Bologna's defensive organization, which may prove crucial against Parma's attempts to break their losing streak.