Serie A 2024-2025: Napoli vs Empoli Prediction

Napoli

Home Team
92%
VS

Empoli

Away Team
3%
Draw: 5%
Over 2.5: 44%
Under 2.5: 56%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 31 20 8 3 69 30 39 68
2 Napoli 31 19 8 4 48 25 23 65
3 Atalanta 31 17 7 7 63 30 33 58
4 Bologna 31 15 12 4 51 35 16 57
5 Juventus 31 14 14 3 47 29 18 56
6 Lazio 31 16 7 8 52 42 10 55
7 Roma 31 15 8 8 46 31 15 53
8 Fiorentina 31 15 7 9 49 32 17 52
9 Milan 31 13 9 9 47 37 10 48
10 Torino 31 9 13 9 36 36 0 40
11 Udinese 31 11 7 13 36 42 -6 40
12 Genoa 31 9 11 11 29 38 -9 38
13 Como 31 8 9 14 39 48 -9 33
14 Verona 31 9 4 18 30 59 -29 31
15 Cagliari 31 7 9 15 31 44 -13 30
16 Parma 31 5 12 14 37 51 -14 27
17 Lecce 31 6 8 17 22 50 -28 26
18 Empoli 31 4 12 15 24 47 -23 24
19 Venezia 31 3 12 16 24 44 -20 21
20 Monza 31 2 9 20 25 55 -30 15

Recent Trends

Napoli ⚪ ✅ ⚪ ✅ ⚪

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Bologna (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Milan (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Venezia (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Fiorentina (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Inter (Goals: 1 - 1)

Empoli ⚪ ⚪ ❌ ❌ ⚪

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Cagliari (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Como (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Torino (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Roma (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Genoa (Goals: 1 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Napoli

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.01
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.22
# Clean Sheets: 1

Empoli

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.59
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.56
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Napoli and Empoli heavily favors Napoli, with a 92.0% probability of a home win. The prediction suggests a low-scoring affair with the game likely to have under 2.5 goals, as indicated by a 44.0% probability of exceeding this total. Napoli sits comfortably in 2nd place in Serie A, while Empoli is struggling in 18th place, deep in the relegation zone.

Match Analysis

Napoli's recent performances show a mixed bag with a win against Milan and draws against Bologna and Venezia. They have maintained a strong defensive position, conceding only 1 goal per game on average in their last five outings. Offensively, Napoli has managed to score an average of 1.6 goals per game recently, supported by a solid expected goals figure of 2.008. Despite some inconsistencies, Napoli's defense has maintained one clean sheet in five games, indicating resilience at the back. Empoli, on the other hand, has had a challenging run. Their last three games resulted in two draws and a loss, scoring a solitary goal across these matches. Empoli's offensive struggles are evident, reflected in their low average of 0.6 goals scored per game over the last five matches. Defensively, they have been porous, conceding an average of 2.0 goals per game. Despite this, Empoli's expected goals against (1.558) suggests they might have been somewhat unlucky, but the results haven't favored them.

Final Prediction

Napoli holds a significant edge over Empoli, thanks to their superior league position and more consistent recent form. Their defensive solidity and attacking capability, even if not fully capitalized upon, provide them with a decisive advantage. A key factor to watch will be Napoli's ability to break down Empoli's defense, potentially setting the tone for a commanding home victory.