Serie A 2024-2025: Monza vs Torino Prediction

Monza

Home Team
33%
VS

Torino

Away Team
44%
Draw: 23%
Over 2.5: 41%
Under 2.5: 59%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 26 17 6 3 59 24 35 57
2 Napoli 26 17 5 4 42 21 21 56
3 Atalanta 26 16 6 4 59 26 33 54
4 Juventus 26 12 13 1 43 21 22 49
5 Lazio 26 14 5 7 47 34 13 47
6 Bologna 26 11 11 4 40 32 8 44
7 Fiorentina 26 12 6 8 41 28 13 42
8 Milan 26 11 8 7 38 28 10 41
9 Roma 26 11 7 8 40 29 11 40
10 Udinese 26 10 6 10 33 37 -4 36
11 Torino 26 7 10 9 29 32 -3 31
12 Genoa 26 7 9 10 24 34 -10 30
13 Como 26 7 7 12 32 41 -9 28
14 Verona 26 8 2 16 27 54 -27 26
15 Cagliari 26 6 7 13 26 40 -14 25
16 Lecce 26 6 7 13 18 42 -24 25
17 Parma 26 5 8 13 32 45 -13 23
18 Empoli 26 4 9 13 22 43 -21 21
19 Venezia 26 3 8 15 22 41 -19 17
20 Monza 26 2 8 16 21 43 -22 14

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Monza

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.82
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.39
# Clean Sheets: 1

Torino

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.96
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.16
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Monza and Torino sees the latter as the predicted winner, with a 44.0% probability of clinching victory. Monza, struggling at the bottom of the Serie A standings, has a 33.0% chance of securing a home win. The predicted result also favors a scenario with under 2.5 goals, which is supported by a 41.0% probability. Monza, languishing in the 20th position, faces a daunting task against Torino who are placed 11th.

Match Analysis

Monza's recent performances have been less than inspiring, with their last three games yielding two heavy defeats and a goalless draw. Their last outing against Lazio ended in a disappointing 5-1 loss, following a 4-0 defeat to Roma. A goalless draw against Lecce at home provided the only glimmer of hope, but Monza's inability to find the net consistently is a growing concern. In contrast, Torino has shown mixed results in their recent fixtures, but they managed a significant victory against Milan, winning 2-1 at home. This triumph was followed by a narrow 3-2 loss to Bologna and a 1-1 draw against Genoa. Torino's ability to score goals, averaging 1.4 per game in their last five matches, could prove pivotal against Monza's struggling defense. Key advanced metrics reveal that Monza has a low average of 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded over their last five matches. Their expected goals statistics (0.818 scored and 1.388 conceded) further underscore their offensive struggles. Torino, on the other hand, has a slightly better offensive record, with an average of 1.4 goals scored per game, despite conceding the same number. Their expected goals conceded figure is notably high at 2.164, suggesting vulnerabilities that Monza could exploit if they find their form.

Final Prediction

Torino's recent victory over Milan and their higher league standing give them a slight edge in this encounter. Monza's relegation-zone position and recent heavy defeats highlight the challenges they face. A key factor to watch will be Torino's ability to capitalize on Monza's defensive frailties, while Monza will need to improve their goal-scoring capabilities to make an impact.