Serie A 2024-2025: Monza vs Napoli Prediction

Monza

Home Team
5%
VS

Napoli

Away Team
90%
Draw: 5%
Over 2.5: 45%
Under 2.5: 55%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 32 21 8 3 72 31 41 71
2 Napoli 32 20 8 4 51 25 26 68
3 Atalanta 32 18 7 7 65 30 35 61
4 Juventus 32 15 14 3 49 30 19 59
5 Bologna 32 15 12 5 51 37 14 57
6 Lazio 32 16 8 8 53 43 10 56
7 Roma 32 15 9 8 47 32 15 54
8 Fiorentina 32 15 8 9 49 32 17 53
9 Milan 32 14 9 9 51 37 14 51
10 Torino 32 9 13 10 36 37 -1 40
11 Udinese 32 11 7 14 36 46 -10 40
12 Genoa 32 9 12 11 29 38 -9 39
13 Como 32 9 9 14 40 48 -8 36
14 Verona 32 9 5 18 30 59 -29 32
15 Cagliari 32 7 9 16 32 47 -15 30
16 Parma 32 5 13 14 37 51 -14 28
17 Lecce 32 6 8 18 23 52 -29 26
18 Venezia 32 4 12 16 25 44 -19 24
19 Empoli 32 4 12 16 24 50 -26 24
20 Monza 32 2 9 21 25 56 -31 15

Recent Trends

Monza ❌ ❌ ❌ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Venezia (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Como (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Cagliari (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Parma (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Inter (Goals: 2 - 3)

Napoli ✅ ⚪ ✅ ⚪ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Empoli (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Bologna (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Milan (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Venezia (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Fiorentina (Goals: 2 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Monza

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.63
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.26
# Clean Sheets: 0

Napoli

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.86
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.77
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Monza and Napoli is heavily tilted in favor of Napoli, with a 90.0% probability of an away victory. This prediction aligns with Napoli's strong position in the Serie A standings, currently sitting in 2nd place with 68 points. Meanwhile, Monza is languishing at the bottom of the table, in the 20th position with just 15 points. The match is also expected to be low-scoring, with a 45.0% probability of under 2.5 goals.

Match Analysis

Monza has been struggling significantly in their recent outings, suffering three consecutive losses. They were defeated by Venezia, Como, and Cagliari, conceding a total of 7 goals while managing to score just once. This poor run is reflected in their advanced metrics, where Monza averages only 0.4 goals per game and 1.4 goals conceded over their last five matches. Their lack of clean sheets further underscores their defensive vulnerabilities. On the other hand, Napoli has been in relatively good form, securing a victory against Empoli and a draw against Bologna, while also achieving a crucial win over Milan. Their solid performances are backed by advanced metrics indicating an average of 1.0 goal scored and 1.2 goals conceded per game in their last five encounters. Notably, Napoli has managed two clean sheets in this period, showcasing their defensive resilience.

Final Prediction

Napoli's superior form and position in the standings give them a decisive edge over Monza. Their ability to both score and maintain a strong defense, as indicated by their recent clean sheets, will be key factors in this matchup. Fans should particularly watch Napoli's defensive organization, which could be crucial in shutting down any potential threats from Monza's attack.