Serie A 2024-2025: Milan vs Como Prediction

Milan

Home Team
88%
VS

Como

Away Team
5%
Draw: 7%
Over 2.5: 61%
Under 2.5: 39%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 28 18 7 3 63 27 36 61
2 Napoli 28 18 6 4 45 23 22 60
3 Atalanta 28 17 7 4 63 26 37 58
4 Juventus 28 13 13 2 45 25 20 52
5 Lazio 28 15 6 7 50 36 14 51
6 Bologna 28 13 11 4 44 34 10 50
7 Roma 28 13 7 8 43 30 13 46
8 Fiorentina 28 13 6 9 43 30 13 45
9 Milan 28 12 8 8 42 32 10 44
10 Udinese 28 11 7 10 35 38 -3 40
11 Torino 28 8 11 9 33 34 -1 35
12 Genoa 28 7 11 10 26 36 -10 32
13 Como 28 7 8 13 34 44 -10 29
14 Cagliari 28 6 8 14 28 43 -15 26
15 Verona 28 8 2 18 28 58 -30 26
16 Lecce 28 6 7 15 20 46 -26 25
17 Parma 28 5 9 14 34 48 -14 24
18 Empoli 28 4 10 14 23 45 -22 22
19 Venezia 28 3 10 15 23 42 -19 19
20 Monza 28 2 8 18 23 48 -25 14

Recent Trends

Milan ✅ ❌ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Lecce (Goals: 3 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Lazio (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Bologna (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Torino (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Verona (Goals: 1 - 0)

Como ⚪ ❌ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Venezia (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Roma (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Napoli (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Fiorentina (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Juventus (Goals: 1 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Milan

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.87
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.41
# Clean Sheets: 1

Como

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.02
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.33
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Milan and Como is heavily tipped in favor of Milan, who have an 88.0% probability of emerging victorious. With the predicted outcome being a home win, the game is also expected to feature more than 2.5 goals, with a 61.0% likelihood. In the current Serie A standings, Milan sits at a more comfortable 9th position compared to Como's 13th, indicating a disparity in their seasonal performances.

Match Analysis

Milan's recent form has been a mixed bag, with a victory against Lecce sandwiched between losses to Lazio and Bologna. Milan's ability to find the back of the net has been consistent, scoring an average of 1.4 goals per game in their last five outings, though they have also conceded an average of 1.2 goals, showing some defensive vulnerabilities. Their expected goals figures suggest they have been creating opportunities, with 1.87 expected goals per game, indicating potential for a strong offensive display. Como, on the other hand, has shown some resilience, managing a win against high-flying Napoli but struggling against Roma and settling for a draw against Venezia. They have scored an average of 0.8 goals per game in their last five matches and conceded 1.4, suggesting a weaker offensive output compared to Milan. Como's expected goals figures are lower than Milan's, at just over 1, which might highlight their struggle to create clear-cut chances.

Final Prediction

Milan's superior attacking metrics and higher league standing give them a significant edge going into this match. Their ability to create and convert goal-scoring opportunities makes them the favorites against a Como side that has struggled defensively. A key factor to watch is Milan's offensive prowess, which, if capitalized upon, could dictate the flow and outcome of the game.