Serie A 2024-2025: Lecce vs Udinese Prediction
Lecce
Home Team
38%
VS
Udinese
Away Team
37%
Draw: 25%
Over 2.5:
49%
Under 2.5:
51%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Napoli | 25 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 19 | 22 | 56 |
| 2 | Inter | 25 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 58 | 24 | 34 | 54 |
| 3 | Atalanta | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 54 | 26 | 28 | 51 |
| 4 | Juventus | 25 | 11 | 13 | 1 | 42 | 21 | 21 | 46 |
| 5 | Lazio | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 46 |
| 6 | Fiorentina | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 42 |
| 7 | Milan | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 24 | 12 | 41 |
| 8 | Bologna | 24 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 41 |
| 9 | Roma | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 37 |
| 10 | Udinese | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 33 |
| 11 | Genoa | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 33 | -9 | 30 |
| 12 | Torino | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 28 |
| 13 | Como | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 25 |
| 14 | Cagliari | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 25 |
| 15 | Lecce | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 25 |
| 16 | Verona | 25 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 23 |
| 17 | Empoli | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 21 |
| 18 | Parma | 25 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 20 |
| 19 | Venezia | 25 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 16 |
| 20 | Monza | 25 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 14 |
Recent Trends
Lecce
- Last Match: vs Monza (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Bologna (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Parma (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Inter (Goals: 0 - 4)
- 5th Last Match: vs Cagliari (Goals: 1 - 4)
Udinese
- Last Match: vs Empoli (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Napoli (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Venezia (Goals: 3 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Roma (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Como (Goals: 1 - 4)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Lecce
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.96
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.45
# Clean Sheets:
2
Udinese
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.01
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.63
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming Serie A clash between Lecce and Udinese promises to be a closely contested affair, with a slight edge given to the home side. Lecce has a 38.00% probability of securing victory, compared to Udinese's 37.00%, while the likelihood of a draw stands at 25.00%. Currently, Udinese holds the 10th position in the league standings with 33 points, whereas Lecce is positioned lower at 15th with 25 points. Fans should anticipate a low-scoring match, with a 49.00% chance of under 2.5 goals being scored.
Match Analysis
Both teams have shown resilience in their recent fixtures. Lecce comes into this match on the back of two goalless draws against Monza and Bologna, followed by a 3-1 victory over Parma. This suggests a solid defensive performance, earning two clean sheets, although their goal-scoring record remains modest with an average of just 0.6 goals per game in their last five outings. Their expected goals (xG) average stands at 0.956, indicating potential for improvement in attack.
Udinese, on the other hand, has demonstrated a more potent offense, with an average of 1.2 goals scored per game in their last five matches. They managed a commanding 3-0 win against Empoli, a 1-1 draw against league leaders Napoli, and secured a 3-2 victory over Venezia. Despite these positive results, they have also conceded an average of 1.4 goals per game. Their expected goals conceded (xGA) is slightly higher at 1.626, suggesting vulnerabilities in their defense.
Final Prediction
Lecce's slight edge in the prediction could be attributed to their recent defensive solidity and home advantage. However, Udinese's more consistent goal-scoring ability makes them formidable opponents. A key factor to watch during the game will be how Lecce's defense copes with Udinese's attacking prowess, which could ultimately decide the outcome.