Serie A 2024-2025: Lazio vs Torino Prediction

Lazio

Home Team
80%
VS

Torino

Away Team
9%
Draw: 11%
Over 2.5: 49%
Under 2.5: 51%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 29 19 7 3 65 27 38 64
2 Napoli 29 18 7 4 45 23 22 61
3 Atalanta 29 17 7 5 63 28 35 58
4 Bologna 29 14 11 4 49 34 15 53
5 Juventus 29 13 13 3 45 28 17 52
6 Lazio 29 15 6 8 50 41 9 51
7 Roma 29 14 7 8 44 30 14 49
8 Fiorentina 29 14 6 9 46 30 16 48
9 Milan 29 13 8 8 44 33 11 47
10 Udinese 29 11 7 11 35 39 -4 40
11 Torino 29 9 11 9 34 34 0 38
12 Genoa 29 8 11 10 28 37 -9 35
13 Como 29 7 8 14 35 46 -11 29
14 Verona 29 9 2 18 29 58 -29 29
15 Cagliari 29 6 8 15 28 44 -16 26
16 Lecce 29 6 7 16 21 48 -27 25
17 Parma 29 5 10 14 35 49 -14 25
18 Empoli 29 4 10 15 23 46 -23 22
19 Venezia 29 3 11 15 23 42 -19 20
20 Monza 29 2 9 18 24 49 -25 15

Recent Trends

Lazio ❌ ⚪ ✅ ⚪ ⚪

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Bologna (Goals: 0 - 5)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Udinese (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Milan (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Venezia (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Napoli (Goals: 2 - 2)

Torino ✅ ⚪ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Empoli (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Parma (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Monza (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Milan (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Bologna (Goals: 2 - 3)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Lazio

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.87
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.15
# Clean Sheets: 1

Torino

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.99
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.14
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Lazio and Torino is poised to favor the home team, with an 80% probability of Lazio securing the victory. Standing at 6th place in Serie A, Lazio is determined to capitalize on their home advantage against 11th-placed Torino. The match is predicted to feature fewer than 2.5 goals, as indicated by a 49% probability for this outcome.

Match Analysis

Lazio's recent form has been a mixed bag. Despite a recent heavy defeat to Bologna (0-5), they managed a morale-boosting victory against Milan (2-1) and a draw with Udinese (1-1). Their ability to bounce back, particularly against stronger opponents, showcases resilience. Lazio's advanced metrics highlight their attacking prowess, with an average of 2.0 goals scored per game in their last five matches, and a respectable 1.874 expected goals per game. On the other hand, Torino has shown a more consistent form, marked by victories against Empoli (1-0) and Monza (2-0), and a draw against Parma (2-2). Torino’s defense has been relatively solid, achieving two clean sheets in their last five outings. However, they struggle offensively, with expected goals at 0.994, indicating a potential challenge in breaking down Lazio's defense.

Final Prediction

Lazio's edge in this fixture stems from their superior attacking statistics and their standing in the league, reflecting a more potent offensive capability. Fans should keep an eye on Lazio's ability to convert chances, as this will be crucial in determining the match's outcome. The key factor to watch will be how effectively Torino can withstand Lazio's attacking threats while trying to exploit any defensive lapses.