Serie A 2024-2025: Juventus vs Lecce Prediction
Juventus
Home Team
91%
VS
Lecce
Away Team
4%
Draw: 5%
Over 2.5:
46%
Under 2.5:
54%
Current Standings
Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Inter | 31 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 69 | 30 | 39 | 68 |
2 | Napoli | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 48 | 25 | 23 | 65 |
3 | Atalanta | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 63 | 30 | 33 | 58 |
4 | Bologna | 31 | 15 | 12 | 4 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 57 |
5 | Juventus | 31 | 14 | 14 | 3 | 47 | 29 | 18 | 56 |
6 | Lazio | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 52 | 42 | 10 | 55 |
7 | Roma | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 46 | 31 | 15 | 53 |
8 | Fiorentina | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 52 |
9 | Milan | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 48 |
10 | Torino | 31 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 40 |
11 | Udinese | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 40 |
12 | Genoa | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 29 | 38 | -9 | 38 |
13 | Como | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 33 |
14 | Verona | 31 | 9 | 4 | 18 | 30 | 59 | -29 | 31 |
15 | Cagliari | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 30 |
16 | Parma | 31 | 5 | 12 | 14 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 27 |
17 | Lecce | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 22 | 50 | -28 | 26 |
18 | Empoli | 31 | 4 | 12 | 15 | 24 | 47 | -23 | 24 |
19 | Venezia | 31 | 3 | 12 | 16 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 21 |
20 | Monza | 31 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 25 | 55 | -30 | 15 |
Recent Trends
Juventus
- Last Match: vs Roma (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Genoa (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Fiorentina (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 4th Last Match: vs Atalanta (Goals: 0 - 4)
- 5th Last Match: vs Verona (Goals: 2 - 0)
Lecce
- Last Match: vs Venezia (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Roma (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Genoa (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Milan (Goals: 2 - 3)
- 5th Last Match: vs Fiorentina (Goals: 0 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Juventus
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.56
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.50
# Clean Sheets:
2
Lecce
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.92
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.63
# Clean Sheets:
0
Key Prediction Insights
With a whopping 91% probability, Juventus is highly favored to secure a win against Lecce in their upcoming match. Despite their recent mixed performances, the home team's standing at 5th in Serie A gives them a considerable edge over Lecce, who are battling relegation at 17th. The game is predicted to feature under 2.5 goals, reflecting the cautious nature of both sides' recent encounters.
Match Analysis
Juventus has had a fluctuating run of form in their last three matches, managing a win, a draw, and a loss. Their solitary victory came at home against Genoa, but they faltered away at Fiorentina, suffering a 3-0 defeat. Juventus have shown resilience with a clean sheet in two of their last five matches and a decent average of 1.6 goals scored. Their defensive solidity is further highlighted by conceding just 1.0 goal per game on average in the same period, making them a tough nut to crack.
Meanwhile, Lecce's recent outings paint a picture of struggle. They have only mustered a single point from their last three games, drawing against Venezia and suffering losses to Roma and Genoa. Lecce's defense has been porous, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per game over their last five matches. With no clean sheets in that span and an underwhelming average of just 1.0 goal scored, Lecce's form is far from reassuring as they prepare to face a traditionally strong Juventus side.
Final Prediction
Juventus' position in the league and their relatively stable recent form make them the clear favorites to win this encounter. Their defensive strength and ability to score crucial goals provide them a strategic advantage over Lecce, who are currently struggling to find form. A key factor to watch will be Juventus' ability to maintain their defensive discipline, potentially paving the way for a narrow victory against a determined yet vulnerable Lecce side.