Serie A 2024-2025: Juventus vs Atalanta Prediction

Juventus

Home Team
38%
VS

Atalanta

Away Team
35%
Draw: 27%
Over 2.5: 50%
Under 2.5: 50%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 27 17 7 3 60 25 35 58
2 Napoli 27 17 6 4 43 22 21 57
3 Atalanta 27 16 7 4 59 26 33 55
4 Juventus 27 13 13 1 45 21 24 52
5 Lazio 27 15 5 7 49 35 14 50
6 Bologna 27 12 11 4 42 33 9 47
7 Fiorentina 27 13 6 8 42 28 14 45
8 Roma 27 12 7 8 42 30 12 43
9 Milan 27 11 8 8 39 30 9 41
10 Udinese 27 11 6 10 34 37 -3 39
11 Torino 27 8 10 9 31 32 -1 34
12 Genoa 27 7 10 10 25 35 -10 31
13 Como 27 7 7 13 33 43 -10 28
14 Verona 27 8 2 17 27 56 -29 26
15 Cagliari 27 6 7 14 27 42 -15 25
16 Lecce 27 6 7 14 18 43 -25 25
17 Parma 27 5 8 14 32 46 -14 23
18 Empoli 27 4 10 13 23 44 -21 22
19 Venezia 27 3 9 15 22 41 -19 18
20 Monza 27 2 8 17 21 45 -24 14

Recent Trends

Juventus ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Verona (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Cagliari (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Inter (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Como (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Empoli (Goals: 4 - 1)

Atalanta ⚪ ✅ ⚪ ✅ ⚪

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Venezia (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Empoli (Goals: 5 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Cagliari (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Verona (Goals: 5 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Torino (Goals: 1 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Juventus

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.74
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.10
# Clean Sheets: 3

Atalanta

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.78
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.18
# Clean Sheets: 4

Key Prediction Insights

Juventus is slightly favored to win against Atalanta with a 38.0% probability compared to Atalanta's 35.0%, while a draw has a 27.0% chance of occurring. The match is predicted to have more than 2.5 goals scored, with a 50.0% probability of this outcome. Currently, Atalanta sits in 3rd place in Serie A with 55 points, while Juventus is close behind in 4th place with 52 points.

Match Analysis

Juventus enters this match on a winning streak, having defeated Verona, Cagliari, and notably, league leaders Inter, without conceding a single goal. Their strong defensive displays have been crucial, with three clean sheets in their last five matches. Juventus has scored an average of 2.2 goals per game in this period, showcasing their offensive capabilities. On the other hand, Atalanta has experienced a mixed run of form. They secured a dominant 5-0 victory against Empoli but were held to goalless draws against both Venezia and Cagliari. Their defensive resilience is evident with four clean sheets in the last five matches, conceding only 0.4 goals on average. Atalanta's attacking potential is reflected in their 2.6 average goals scored per game, slightly higher than their expected goals of 1.784.

Final Prediction

Juventus has the edge in this encounter due to their recent form and home advantage. Their ability to keep clean sheets and consistently score gives them a slight upper hand. A key factor to watch will be Juventus's defense against Atalanta's potent attack, as both teams have shown they can be formidable on their day.