Serie A 2024-2025: Inter vs Monza Prediction

Inter

Home Team
98%
VS

Monza

Away Team
1%
Draw: 1%
Over 2.5: 43%
Under 2.5: 57%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 27 17 7 3 60 25 35 58
2 Napoli 27 17 6 4 43 22 21 57
3 Atalanta 27 16 7 4 59 26 33 55
4 Juventus 27 13 13 1 45 21 24 52
5 Lazio 27 15 5 7 49 35 14 50
6 Bologna 27 12 11 4 42 33 9 47
7 Fiorentina 27 13 6 8 42 28 14 45
8 Roma 27 12 7 8 42 30 12 43
9 Milan 27 11 8 8 39 30 9 41
10 Udinese 27 11 6 10 34 37 -3 39
11 Torino 27 8 10 9 31 32 -1 34
12 Genoa 27 7 10 10 25 35 -10 31
13 Como 27 7 7 13 33 43 -10 28
14 Verona 27 8 2 17 27 56 -29 26
15 Cagliari 27 6 7 14 27 42 -15 25
16 Lecce 27 6 7 14 18 43 -25 25
17 Parma 27 5 8 14 32 46 -14 23
18 Empoli 27 4 10 13 23 44 -21 22
19 Venezia 27 3 9 15 22 41 -19 18
20 Monza 27 2 8 17 21 45 -24 14

Recent Trends

Inter ⚪ ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Napoli (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Genoa (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Juventus (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Fiorentina (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Fiorentina (Goals: 0 - 3)

Monza ❌ ❌ ⚪ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Torino (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Roma (Goals: 0 - 4)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Lecce (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Lazio (Goals: 1 - 5)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Verona (Goals: 0 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Inter

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.72
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.85
# Clean Sheets: 1

Monza

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.83
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.69
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Inter and Monza is heavily skewed in favor of the home side, with a remarkable 98% probability of Inter securing a victory. Conversely, Monza's chances of an upset are slim, standing at just 1%. The likelihood of a draw is equally low. With Inter sitting comfortably at the top of the Serie A table, and Monza languishing in last place, the predicted result is a home win with the game expected to have under 2.5 goals.

Match Analysis

In recent matches, Inter has shown mixed form. They managed a draw against Napoli, secured a victory over Genoa, but fell short against Juventus. Their performances have been characterized by a solid defense, conceding an average of only 0.8 goals per game in their last five outings. Inter's offensive efforts have also been reliable, with an average of 2.0 goals scored per game, supported by an expected goals value of 1.722. However, they’ve only managed one clean sheet recently, indicating moments of defensive vulnerability. Monza, on the other hand, is struggling significantly. Their recent form includes a draw with Lecce and back-to-back defeats against Torino and Roma. Offensively, Monza has been lackluster, averaging just 0.6 goals per game. Defensively, they have been porous, conceding an average of 3.2 goals per game, which is reflected in their high expected goals against value of 2.694. This combination of a weak attack and a fragile defense has been detrimental to their season so far.

Final Prediction

Inter's dominance in this fixture is underscored by their solid standing in the league and recent performances, providing them with a clear edge over Monza. A critical factor to watch during the game will be Inter's ability to maintain their defensive stability while capitalizing on Monza's defensive frailties to potentially extend their lead at the top of the table.