Serie A 2024-2025: Inter vs Cagliari Prediction

Inter

Home Team
97%
VS

Cagliari

Away Team
1%
Draw: 2%
Over 2.5: 48%
Under 2.5: 52%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 31 20 8 3 69 30 39 68
2 Napoli 31 19 8 4 48 25 23 65
3 Atalanta 31 17 7 7 63 30 33 58
4 Bologna 31 15 12 4 51 35 16 57
5 Juventus 31 14 14 3 47 29 18 56
6 Lazio 31 16 7 8 52 42 10 55
7 Roma 31 15 8 8 46 31 15 53
8 Fiorentina 31 15 7 9 49 32 17 52
9 Milan 31 13 9 9 47 37 10 48
10 Torino 31 9 13 9 36 36 0 40
11 Udinese 31 11 7 13 36 42 -6 40
12 Genoa 31 9 11 11 29 38 -9 38
13 Como 31 8 9 14 39 48 -9 33
14 Verona 31 9 4 18 30 59 -29 31
15 Cagliari 31 7 9 15 31 44 -13 30
16 Parma 31 5 12 14 37 51 -14 27
17 Lecce 31 6 8 17 22 50 -28 26
18 Empoli 31 4 12 15 24 47 -23 24
19 Venezia 31 3 12 16 24 44 -20 21
20 Monza 31 2 9 20 25 55 -30 15

Recent Trends

Inter ⚪ ✅ ✅ ✅ ⚪

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Parma (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Udinese (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Atalanta (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Monza (Goals: 3 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Napoli (Goals: 1 - 1)

Cagliari ⚪ ✅ ❌ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Empoli (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Monza (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Roma (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Genoa (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Bologna (Goals: 1 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Inter

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.06
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.01
# Clean Sheets: 1

Cagliari

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.47
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.39
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

Inter Milan is the overwhelming favorite to win against Cagliari, with a staggering 97% probability of victory. The game's predicted outcome suggests a low-scoring affair with a likelihood of fewer than 2.5 goals being scored. As it stands, Inter sits comfortably at the top of the Serie A table, while Cagliari is struggling in 15th place, fighting to avoid relegation.

Match Analysis

Inter Milan's recent form has been impressive, securing two victories and a draw in their last three matches, including a notable away win against Atalanta. Their offensive capabilities are evident, as they average 2.2 goals per game over their last five matches, with an expected goals metric of 2.064. Defensively, Inter has maintained resilience, allowing only one goal per match on average and achieving one clean sheet in the same period. Cagliari, on the other hand, has had a mixed bag of results. They managed a goalless draw against Empoli and a solid home win against Monza, but they faltered against Roma. Scoring has been a significant challenge for Cagliari, as they have averaged only 0.2 goals per game in their last five outings, with an expected goals figure of 0.466. Despite their struggles upfront, they have managed to keep two clean sheets, indicating some defensive solidity.

Final Prediction

Inter Milan's position at the top of the table and their consistent form give them a significant edge over Cagliari. Their ability to score and maintain defensive stability makes them the clear favorite. A key factor to watch will be whether Cagliari's defense can hold off Inter's potent attack, which could determine if the game remains a low-scoring affair.