Serie A 2024-2025: Genoa vs Udinese Prediction

Genoa

Home Team
38%
VS

Udinese

Away Team
36%
Draw: 25%
Over 2.5: 47%
Under 2.5: 53%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 30 20 7 3 67 28 39 67
2 Napoli 30 19 7 4 47 24 23 64
3 Atalanta 30 17 7 6 63 29 34 58
4 Bologna 30 15 11 4 50 34 16 56
5 Juventus 30 14 13 3 46 28 18 55
6 Roma 30 15 7 8 45 30 15 52
7 Lazio 30 15 7 8 51 42 9 52
8 Fiorentina 30 15 6 9 47 30 17 51
9 Milan 30 13 8 9 45 35 10 47
10 Udinese 30 11 7 12 36 41 -5 40
11 Torino 30 9 12 9 35 35 0 39
12 Genoa 30 8 11 11 28 38 -10 35
13 Como 30 7 9 14 36 47 -11 30
14 Verona 30 9 3 18 29 58 -29 30
15 Cagliari 30 7 8 15 31 44 -13 29
16 Parma 30 5 11 14 35 49 -14 26
17 Lecce 30 6 7 17 21 49 -28 25
18 Empoli 30 4 11 15 24 47 -23 23
19 Venezia 30 3 11 16 23 43 -20 20
20 Monza 30 2 9 19 24 52 -28 15

Recent Trends

Genoa ❌ ✅ ⚪ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Juventus (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Lecce (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Cagliari (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Empoli (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Inter (Goals: 0 - 1)

Udinese ❌ ❌ ⚪ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Inter (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Verona (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Lazio (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Parma (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Lecce (Goals: 1 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Genoa

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.55
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.67
# Clean Sheets: 0

Udinese

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.25
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.55
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming Serie A clash between Genoa and Udinese presents a tightly contested matchup, with Genoa holding a slight edge with a 38% probability of securing a victory, compared to Udinese's 36% chance. Both teams are currently in the lower half of the standings, with Genoa sitting in 12th position and Udinese in 10th. The prediction leans towards a low-scoring affair, with a 47% probability indicating the match will feature under 2.5 goals.

Match Analysis

Genoa enters this encounter following a mixed bag of results in their last three fixtures. They managed a win against Lecce at home, secured a draw away to Cagliari, and suffered a narrow loss to Juventus. Their recent performances highlight a defensive strength, with an average of only 0.4 goals conceded in the last five games, despite not recording any clean sheets. Offensively, they are averaging 1.6 goals scored, demonstrating a balanced approach. Udinese, on the other hand, has experienced a dip in form, with two losses and a draw in their recent outings. Their defeat to Inter away and a narrow loss to Verona at home underscore their struggles in converting opportunities into wins. Despite these setbacks, they maintain a respectable defensive record, with two clean sheets in their last five matches and an average of 1.6 goals conceded. Key metrics indicate that Genoa's expected goals (xG) scored and conceded metrics are slightly better than Udinese's, suggesting a potential edge in creating and defending chances. Genoa's xG of 1.546 over the last five games, compared to Udinese's 1.248, highlights their slight advantage in offensive potential.

Final Prediction

Genoa's edge in this matchup stems from their slightly stronger recent form and their ability to convert chances into goals more effectively than Udinese. With a robust defense and a home advantage, Genoa appears poised to capitalize on Udinese's recent vulnerabilities. A key factor to watch will be how well Genoa can leverage their offensive opportunities against an Udinese side looking to regain their footing.