Serie A 2024-2025: Genoa vs Lazio Prediction

Genoa

Home Team
24%
VS

Lazio

Away Team
59%
Draw: 17%
Over 2.5: 41%
Under 2.5: 59%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 33 21 8 4 72 32 40 71
2 Napoli 33 21 8 4 52 25 27 71
3 Atalanta 33 19 7 7 66 30 36 64
4 Bologna 33 16 12 5 52 37 15 60
5 Juventus 32 15 14 3 49 30 19 59
6 Roma 33 16 9 8 48 32 16 57
7 Lazio 32 16 8 8 53 43 10 56
8 Fiorentina 32 15 8 9 49 32 17 53
9 Milan 33 14 9 10 51 38 13 51
10 Torino 32 9 13 10 36 37 -1 40
11 Udinese 32 11 7 14 36 46 -10 40
12 Genoa 32 9 12 11 29 38 -9 39
13 Como 33 10 9 14 43 48 -5 39
14 Verona 33 9 5 19 30 60 -30 32
15 Cagliari 32 7 9 16 32 47 -15 30
16 Parma 32 5 13 14 37 51 -14 28
17 Lecce 33 6 8 19 23 55 -32 26
18 Venezia 33 4 13 16 27 46 -19 25
19 Empoli 33 4 13 16 26 52 -26 25
20 Monza 33 2 9 22 25 57 -32 15

Recent Trends

Genoa ⚪ ✅ ❌ ✅ ⚪

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Verona (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Udinese (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Juventus (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Lecce (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Cagliari (Goals: 1 - 1)

Lazio ⚪ ✅ ⚪ ❌ ⚪

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Roma (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Atalanta (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Torino (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Bologna (Goals: 0 - 5)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Udinese (Goals: 1 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Genoa

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.57
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.79
# Clean Sheets: 2

Lazio

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.27
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.60
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Genoa and Lazio is expected to tilt in favor of the visiting side, Lazio, with a 59.0% probability of winning. Meanwhile, Genoa holds a 24.0% chance of securing a victory. The likelihood of the match ending in a draw stands at 17.0%. With both teams positioned in the mid to lower end of the Serie A table—Lazio at 7th and Genoa at 12th—the game is anticipated to have a tight scoreline, with a higher probability of ending under 2.5 goals.

Match Analysis

Genoa's recent form has been inconsistent, with a mix of results over their last three games. They managed a goalless draw against Verona and a narrow 1-0 victory at home against Udinese but fell short in a 1-0 loss to Juventus. A notable aspect of Genoa’s recent matches is their defensive resilience, reflected in their two clean sheets out of the last five games. Advanced metrics show that Genoa averages 1.6 goals scored and only 0.4 conceded per game in their last five encounters, indicating a solid defensive setup. On the other hand, Lazio has shown a steady, albeit unspectacular, run of form. They secured a vital away win against Atalanta and drew against both Roma and Torino. Lazio's defensive vulnerabilities are highlighted by conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game in their last five matches, despite their offensive capabilities reflected in scoring an average of one goal per game. This mixed form has kept them on the cusp of the top six, showing both potential and inconsistency.

Final Prediction

Lazio's higher likelihood of victory can be attributed to their slightly superior position in the league and their ability to edge out tough competitors like Atalanta recently. However, Genoa's strong defensive record could pose challenges for Lazio's attack. A key factor to watch is how well Genoa can maintain their defensive solidity against Lazio's offensive threats.