Serie A 2024-2025: Genoa vs Empoli Prediction

Genoa

Home Team
74%
VS

Empoli

Away Team
12%
Draw: 14%
Over 2.5: 46%
Under 2.5: 54%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 26 17 6 3 59 24 35 57
2 Napoli 26 17 5 4 42 21 21 56
3 Atalanta 26 16 6 4 59 26 33 54
4 Juventus 26 12 13 1 43 21 22 49
5 Lazio 26 14 5 7 47 34 13 47
6 Bologna 26 11 11 4 40 32 8 44
7 Fiorentina 26 12 6 8 41 28 13 42
8 Milan 26 11 8 7 38 28 10 41
9 Roma 26 11 7 8 40 29 11 40
10 Udinese 26 10 6 10 33 37 -4 36
11 Torino 26 7 10 9 29 32 -3 31
12 Genoa 26 7 9 10 24 34 -10 30
13 Como 26 7 7 12 32 41 -9 28
14 Verona 26 8 2 16 27 54 -27 26
15 Cagliari 26 6 7 13 26 40 -14 25
16 Lecce 26 6 7 13 18 42 -24 25
17 Parma 26 5 8 13 32 45 -13 23
18 Empoli 26 4 9 13 22 43 -21 21
19 Venezia 26 3 8 15 22 41 -19 17
20 Monza 26 2 8 16 21 43 -22 14

Recent Trends

Genoa ❌ ✅ ⚪ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Inter (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Venezia (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Torino (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Fiorentina (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Monza (Goals: 2 - 0)

Empoli ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌ ⚪

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Atalanta (Goals: 0 - 5)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Udinese (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Milan (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Juventus (Goals: 1 - 4)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Bologna (Goals: 1 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Genoa

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.50
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.66
# Clean Sheets: 2

Empoli

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.31
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.82
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Genoa and Empoli is anticipated to favor the home side, with a strong 74.0% probability of a Genoa victory. Meanwhile, Empoli's chances of winning stand at a mere 12.0%, with the possibility of a draw at 14.0%. The prediction also leans towards a low-scoring affair, with a 46.0% probability suggesting the match will feature under 2.5 goals. In the current Serie A standings, Genoa sits at 12th place, while Empoli struggles in 18th place, flirting with relegation.

Match Analysis

Genoa enters this fixture with mixed results from their last three matches, showcasing a win against Venezia, a draw with Torino, and a narrow defeat to league leaders Inter. Their recent performances have been bolstered by a solid defense, conceding just 0.4 goals on average over their last five games, and maintaining two clean sheets in that span. Offensively, they have managed to score an average of 1.2 goals per game, with a slightly higher expected goals metric of 1.496, indicating potential for more. On the other hand, Empoli is on a troubling downward trajectory, having lost all three of their recent matches without scoring a single goal. Their defense has been particularly porous, conceding a worrying average of 2.8 goals over their last five games. Despite an expected goals figure of 1.3139999999999998, Empoli has struggled to find the back of the net, highlighting inefficiencies in their attacking execution. With no clean sheets in their last five outings, their defensive frailties could be a significant vulnerability against Genoa.

Final Prediction

Genoa is poised to capitalize on their home advantage and recent defensive solidity, giving them a clear edge over a struggling Empoli side. The key factor to watch will be Genoa's ability to maintain their defensive discipline against an Empoli team desperate to avoid relegation. Should Genoa effectively manage their defensive setup, they are likely to secure a crucial victory and continue their climb up the Serie A table.