Serie A 2024-2025: Fiorentina vs Parma Prediction

Fiorentina

Home Team
63%
VS

Parma

Away Team
17%
Draw: 20%
Over 2.5: 47%
Under 2.5: 53%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 31 20 8 3 69 30 39 68
2 Napoli 31 19 8 4 48 25 23 65
3 Atalanta 31 17 7 7 63 30 33 58
4 Bologna 31 15 12 4 51 35 16 57
5 Juventus 31 14 14 3 47 29 18 56
6 Lazio 31 16 7 8 52 42 10 55
7 Roma 31 15 8 8 46 31 15 53
8 Fiorentina 31 15 7 9 49 32 17 52
9 Milan 31 13 9 9 47 37 10 48
10 Torino 31 9 13 9 36 36 0 40
11 Udinese 31 11 7 13 36 42 -6 40
12 Genoa 31 9 11 11 29 38 -9 38
13 Como 31 8 9 14 39 48 -9 33
14 Verona 31 9 4 18 30 59 -29 31
15 Cagliari 31 7 9 15 31 44 -13 30
16 Parma 31 5 12 14 37 51 -14 27
17 Lecce 31 6 8 17 22 50 -28 26
18 Empoli 31 4 12 15 24 47 -23 24
19 Venezia 31 3 12 16 24 44 -20 21
20 Monza 31 2 9 20 25 55 -30 15

Recent Trends

Fiorentina ⚪ ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Milan (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Atalanta (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Juventus (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Napoli (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Lecce (Goals: 1 - 0)

Parma ⚪ ⚪ ⚪ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Inter (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Verona (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Monza (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Torino (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Udinese (Goals: 0 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Fiorentina

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.07
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.82
# Clean Sheets: 3

Parma

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.95
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.59
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Parma sees the home team favored with a 63.0% probability of victory. Parma's chances of winning stand at just 17.0%, while the likelihood of a draw is 20.0%. With Fiorentina sitting 8th and Parma struggling in 16th position, the predicted outcome is a home win. Additionally, the game is expected to have fewer than 2.5 goals, with a 47.0% probability of exceeding this mark.

Match Analysis

Fiorentina has demonstrated strong form in their recent matches, securing two wins and a draw. Notably, they defeated Juventus 3-0 and held Milan to a 2-2 draw away from home. Fiorentina's defensive solidity is evident, having conceded only 0.4 goals on average in their last five games and achieving three clean sheets. Their attacking prowess, with an average of 1.6 goals scored, enhances their chances against a struggling Parma. Parma, on the other hand, has been unable to secure a win in their last three outings, drawing all their encounters. Their recent performances include a 2-2 draw against Inter and a goalless stalemate with Verona. Parma's attack has been less effective, averaging 0.8 goals per game, while their defense has conceded 1.4 goals on average, highlighting vulnerabilities that Fiorentina could exploit. Additionally, Parma's expected goals conceded (1.594) further emphasize their defensive challenges.

Final Prediction

Fiorentina's recent form and solid defensive record give them a clear edge over Parma. Their ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities while maintaining a strong defense is likely to be the decisive factor. Fans should keep an eye on Fiorentina's attack, as their goal-scoring ability will be crucial in breaking down Parma's defense.