Serie A 2024-2025: Fiorentina vs Juventus Prediction

Fiorentina

Home Team
20%
VS

Juventus

Away Team
63%
Draw: 17%
Over 2.5: 42%
Under 2.5: 58%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 28 18 7 3 63 27 36 61
2 Napoli 28 18 6 4 45 23 22 60
3 Atalanta 28 17 7 4 63 26 37 58
4 Juventus 28 13 13 2 45 25 20 52
5 Lazio 28 15 6 7 50 36 14 51
6 Bologna 28 13 11 4 44 34 10 50
7 Roma 28 13 7 8 43 30 13 46
8 Fiorentina 28 13 6 9 43 30 13 45
9 Milan 28 12 8 8 42 32 10 44
10 Udinese 28 11 7 10 35 38 -3 40
11 Torino 28 8 11 9 33 34 -1 35
12 Genoa 28 7 11 10 26 36 -10 32
13 Como 28 7 8 13 34 44 -10 29
14 Cagliari 28 6 8 14 28 43 -15 26
15 Verona 28 8 2 18 28 58 -30 26
16 Lecce 28 6 7 15 20 46 -26 25
17 Parma 28 5 9 14 34 48 -14 24
18 Empoli 28 4 10 14 23 45 -22 22
19 Venezia 28 3 10 15 23 42 -19 19
20 Monza 28 2 8 18 23 48 -25 14

Recent Trends

Fiorentina ❌ ✅ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Napoli (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Lecce (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Verona (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Como (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Inter (Goals: 1 - 2)

Juventus ❌ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Atalanta (Goals: 0 - 4)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Verona (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Cagliari (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Inter (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Como (Goals: 2 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Fiorentina

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.09
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.02
# Clean Sheets: 1

Juventus

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.56
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.10
# Clean Sheets: 3

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Fiorentina and Juventus is predicted to swing in favor of the visitors, with Juventus having a 63.0% probability of winning. This prediction aligns with Juventus's superior league standing, currently ranked 4th in Serie A, compared to Fiorentina's 8th position. Additionally, the match is expected to feature fewer than 2.5 goals, as indicated by a 42.0% probability for over 2.5 goals.

Match Analysis

Fiorentina's recent form has been inconsistent, as evidenced by their performance in the last three matches. They managed a narrow 1-0 victory against Lecce at home but suffered defeats against Napoli and Verona, scoring only once in those losses. Fiorentina’s average of 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded over the last five games suggests a relatively balanced performance, albeit with room for improvement in defense, given they have only kept one clean sheet. Juventus, on the other hand, comes into the fixture with a more favorable recent record, securing wins against Verona and Cagliari, while experiencing a heavy defeat to Atalanta. The team’s ability to keep clean sheets in three of their last five matches highlights their defensive solidity. With an average of 1.2 goals scored, Juventus's attacking prowess may not be overwhelming, but their higher expected goals (1.558) indicate potential for more significant offensive output.

Final Prediction

Juventus holds the edge in this matchup, primarily due to their robust defensive performance and higher league standing, which points to a more consistent season overall. A key factor to watch during the game will be Juventus's ability to convert their expected goals into actual goals, as this could be the determining factor in overcoming a resilient Fiorentina side.