Serie A 2024-2025: Empoli vs Venezia Prediction

Empoli

Home Team
40%
VS

Venezia

Away Team
31%
Draw: 29%
Over 2.5: 46%
Under 2.5: 54%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 32 21 8 3 72 31 41 71
2 Napoli 32 20 8 4 51 25 26 68
3 Atalanta 32 18 7 7 65 30 35 61
4 Juventus 32 15 14 3 49 30 19 59
5 Bologna 32 15 12 5 51 37 14 57
6 Lazio 32 16 8 8 53 43 10 56
7 Roma 32 15 9 8 47 32 15 54
8 Fiorentina 32 15 8 9 49 32 17 53
9 Milan 32 14 9 9 51 37 14 51
10 Torino 32 9 13 10 36 37 -1 40
11 Udinese 32 11 7 14 36 46 -10 40
12 Genoa 32 9 12 11 29 38 -9 39
13 Como 32 9 9 14 40 48 -8 36
14 Verona 32 9 5 18 30 59 -29 32
15 Cagliari 32 7 9 16 32 47 -15 30
16 Parma 32 5 13 14 37 51 -14 28
17 Lecce 32 6 8 18 23 52 -29 26
18 Venezia 32 4 12 16 25 44 -19 24
19 Empoli 32 4 12 16 24 50 -26 24
20 Monza 32 2 9 21 25 56 -31 15

Recent Trends

Empoli ❌ ⚪ ⚪ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Napoli (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Cagliari (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Como (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Torino (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Roma (Goals: 0 - 1)

Venezia ✅ ⚪ ❌ ⚪ ⚪

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Monza (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Lecce (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Bologna (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Napoli (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Como (Goals: 1 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Empoli

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.55
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.70
# Clean Sheets: 1

Venezia

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.95
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.73
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Empoli and Venezia sees the home team, Empoli, slightly favored with a 40.0% probability of victory. Meanwhile, Venezia's chances stand at 31.0%, with a draw anticipated at 29.0%. Empoli and Venezia are both languishing at the bottom end of the Serie A standings, tied in points, but Empoli is just below Venezia due to a worse goal difference. With a predicted outcome of under 2.5 goals and a 46.0% probability of such a low-scoring affair, fans can expect a tight and cautious encounter.

Match Analysis

Recent performances highlight a challenging period for both teams. Empoli's last three outings have been a mixed bag, drawing twice and falling to Napoli. Their defense has been porous, conceding three goals against Napoli, and they have struggled to find the net, scoring only once in this stretch. Venezia, on the other hand, has shown signs of resilience. A victory over Monza and a draw against Lecce reflect their ability to hold their ground, although a narrow loss to Bologna indicates vulnerability. Advanced metrics suggest Empoli has struggled offensively, with an average of just 0.2 goals scored in their last five games. Their defense has also been leaky, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game. Venezia has fared slightly better offensively, averaging 0.8 goals per game, and they have been somewhat sturdier defensively, conceding 1.4 goals on average. With both teams managing to secure clean sheets recently, the defensive performance could be crucial in this matchup.

Final Prediction

Empoli might have the edge due to the higher probability of winning, but their offensive struggles could be a concern. Venezia's slightly better form and defensive metrics give them a fighting chance. A key factor to watch in this match will be how well each team's defense performs under pressure, as goals might be scarce. Fans should prepare for a tightly contested battle with survival stakes high.