Serie A 2024-2025: Empoli vs Roma Prediction

Empoli

Home Team
5%
VS

Roma

Away Team
89%
Draw: 6%
Over 2.5: 44%
Under 2.5: 56%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 27 17 7 3 60 25 35 58
2 Napoli 27 17 6 4 43 22 21 57
3 Atalanta 27 16 7 4 59 26 33 55
4 Juventus 27 13 13 1 45 21 24 52
5 Lazio 27 15 5 7 49 35 14 50
6 Bologna 27 12 11 4 42 33 9 47
7 Fiorentina 27 13 6 8 42 28 14 45
8 Roma 27 12 7 8 42 30 12 43
9 Milan 27 11 8 8 39 30 9 41
10 Udinese 27 11 6 10 34 37 -3 39
11 Torino 27 8 10 9 31 32 -1 34
12 Genoa 27 7 10 10 25 35 -10 31
13 Como 27 7 7 13 33 43 -10 28
14 Verona 27 8 2 17 27 56 -29 26
15 Cagliari 27 6 7 14 27 42 -15 25
16 Lecce 27 6 7 14 18 43 -25 25
17 Parma 27 5 8 14 32 46 -14 23
18 Empoli 27 4 10 13 23 44 -21 22
19 Venezia 27 3 9 15 22 41 -19 18
20 Monza 27 2 8 17 21 45 -24 14

Recent Trends

Empoli ⚪ ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Genoa (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Atalanta (Goals: 0 - 5)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Udinese (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Milan (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Juventus (Goals: 1 - 4)

Roma ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ⚪

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Como (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Monza (Goals: 4 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Parma (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Venezia (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Napoli (Goals: 1 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Empoli

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.21
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.78
# Clean Sheets: 0

Roma

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.87
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.31
# Clean Sheets: 3

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Empoli and Roma is heavily tilted in favor of the visitors, Roma, who have an 89.0% chance of claiming victory. Meanwhile, Empoli's chances to come out on top are a mere 5.0%. The likelihood of the match ending in a draw is 6.0%. Additionally, the game is predicted to have fewer than 2.5 goals. In terms of league standings, Roma sits in 8th place with 43 points, while Empoli is struggling at 18th with 22 points, in the relegation zone.

Match Analysis

Empoli's recent form is troubling, with no wins in their last three outings. Their most recent match concluded in a 1-1 draw against Genoa, which was an improvement after heavy defeats to Atalanta (0-5) and Udinese (0-3). Their scoring woes continue, as evidenced by an average of just 0.6 goals per game over their last five matches, while defensively, they have been porous, conceding an average of 2.6 goals per match. On the other hand, Roma is riding high on a strong sequence of results, securing three consecutive victories. They have displayed impressive form, notably with a 4-0 thrashing of Monza and a solid win against Como (2-1). Roma's ability to keep clean sheets in three of their last five matches underlines their defensive solidity. Offensively, they average 1.4 goals per game, backed by an expected goals figure of 1.874, indicating a robust attacking approach.

Final Prediction

Roma's recent form and superior statistics provide them a significant edge over Empoli. The Giallorossi's defensive resilience and efficient attack make them strong favorites. A key factor to watch will be Roma's ability to maintain their defensive discipline, which could prove crucial against an Empoli side desperate for points in their battle against relegation.