Serie A 2024-2025: Empoli vs Cagliari Prediction

Empoli

Home Team
31%
VS

Cagliari

Away Team
44%
Draw: 25%
Over 2.5: 43%
Under 2.5: 57%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 30 20 7 3 67 28 39 67
2 Napoli 30 19 7 4 47 24 23 64
3 Atalanta 30 17 7 6 63 29 34 58
4 Bologna 30 15 11 4 50 34 16 56
5 Juventus 30 14 13 3 46 28 18 55
6 Roma 30 15 7 8 45 30 15 52
7 Lazio 30 15 7 8 51 42 9 52
8 Fiorentina 30 15 6 9 47 30 17 51
9 Milan 30 13 8 9 45 35 10 47
10 Udinese 30 11 7 12 36 41 -5 40
11 Torino 30 9 12 9 35 35 0 39
12 Genoa 30 8 11 11 28 38 -10 35
13 Como 30 7 9 14 36 47 -11 30
14 Verona 30 9 3 18 29 58 -29 30
15 Cagliari 30 7 8 15 31 44 -13 29
16 Parma 30 5 11 14 35 49 -14 26
17 Lecce 30 6 7 17 21 49 -28 25
18 Empoli 30 4 11 15 24 47 -23 23
19 Venezia 30 3 11 16 23 43 -20 20
20 Monza 30 2 9 19 24 52 -28 15

Recent Trends

Empoli ⚪ ❌ ❌ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Como (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Torino (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Roma (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Genoa (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Atalanta (Goals: 0 - 5)

Cagliari ✅ ❌ ⚪ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Monza (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Roma (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Genoa (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Bologna (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Juventus (Goals: 0 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Empoli

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.94
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.98
# Clean Sheets: 0

Cagliari

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.50
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.80
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Empoli and Cagliari is predicted to favor the visiting side, with a 44.0% probability of Cagliari claiming victory. Empoli, currently sitting in the 18th position, faces a tough challenge against Cagliari, who are slightly better placed at 15th. This match is also expected to have fewer than 2.5 goals, with a 43.0% probability suggesting a tight and low-scoring affair.

Match Analysis

In recent performances, Empoli has struggled to find form, enduring a winless streak in their last three encounters. They managed a draw against Como but suffered narrow 1-0 defeats to both Torino and Roma. Their recent inability to score goals is reflected in their average of just 0.4 goals per game over the past five matches, paired with a concerning defensive record of conceding 2.4 goals on average. Cagliari, on the other hand, has shown mixed results but with a hint of promise. They secured a convincing 3-0 victory at home against Monza, set against a backdrop of a loss to Roma and a draw with Genoa. Advanced metrics indicate that Cagliari's defense has been more reliable, conceding 1.2 goals on average in their last five games, compared to Empoli's leaky backline. This defensive solidity, combined with a recent clean sheet, could be pivotal in this encounter.

Final Prediction

Cagliari appears to have a marginal edge in this fixture due to their slightly superior defensive record and recent win over Monza, which will boost their confidence. A key factor to watch will be Cagliari's ability to maintain their defensive discipline, which could ultimately decide the outcome against an Empoli side struggling to find the back of the net.