Serie A 2024-2025: Empoli vs Atalanta Prediction
Empoli
Home Team
2%
VS
Atalanta
Away Team
95%
Draw: 3%
Over 2.5:
52%
Under 2.5:
48%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Napoli | 25 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 19 | 22 | 56 |
| 2 | Inter | 25 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 58 | 24 | 34 | 54 |
| 3 | Atalanta | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 54 | 26 | 28 | 51 |
| 4 | Juventus | 25 | 11 | 13 | 1 | 42 | 21 | 21 | 46 |
| 5 | Lazio | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 46 |
| 6 | Fiorentina | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 42 |
| 7 | Milan | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 24 | 12 | 41 |
| 8 | Bologna | 24 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 41 |
| 9 | Roma | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 37 |
| 10 | Udinese | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 33 |
| 11 | Genoa | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 33 | -9 | 30 |
| 12 | Torino | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 28 |
| 13 | Como | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 25 |
| 14 | Cagliari | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 25 |
| 15 | Lecce | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 25 |
| 16 | Verona | 25 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 23 |
| 17 | Empoli | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 21 |
| 18 | Parma | 25 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 20 |
| 19 | Venezia | 25 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 16 |
| 20 | Monza | 25 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 14 |
Recent Trends
Empoli
- Last Match: vs Udinese (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Milan (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Juventus (Goals: 1 - 4)
- 4th Last Match: vs Bologna (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Inter (Goals: 1 - 3)
Atalanta
- Last Match: vs Cagliari (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Verona (Goals: 5 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Torino (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Como (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Napoli (Goals: 2 - 3)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Empoli
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.24
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.55
# Clean Sheets:
0
Atalanta
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.76
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.40
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming Serie A clash between Empoli and Atalanta is heavily tilted in favor of Atalanta, with a 95% probability of an away victory. Empoli's chances of winning are a mere 2%, while there is a 3% chance of a draw. As the league table shows, Atalanta is currently ranked 3rd with 51 points, while Empoli is struggling at 17th with 21 points. The probability for the match to exceed 2.5 goals is 52%, predicting a high-scoring encounter.
Match Analysis
Empoli's recent form has been underwhelming, as they have suffered three consecutive losses, scoring just once while conceding a total of nine goals. Their recent defeats include a 3-0 loss against Udinese, a 2-0 loss to Milan, and a 4-1 defeat at the hands of Juventus. Empoli's defense has been leaky, and their attack has struggled to find the back of the net, with an average of just 0.6 goals scored per game in their last five matches. The team has failed to maintain a clean sheet in any of their recent games, which has added to their woes.
In contrast, Atalanta has shown resilience, with a win and two draws in their last three matches. They managed a dominant 5-0 victory against Verona and secured clean sheets in two of their recent games. Atalanta averages 1.8 goals scored per game and has a strong defensive record, conceding only 0.4 goals on average in their last five matches. Their expected goals (xG) metrics also highlight a team that creates and prevents quality chances effectively, with xG figures of 1.756 for goals scored and 1.402 for goals conceded.
Final Prediction
Atalanta's solid form, both offensively and defensively, gives them a significant edge over Empoli, whose struggles have been evident in recent performances. The key factor to watch in this match will be Atalanta's attacking prowess against an Empoli defense that has shown vulnerability. Expect Atalanta to capitalize on their attacking opportunities and maintain their push for a top-four finish in Serie A.