Serie A 2024-2025: Como vs Venezia Prediction

Como

Home Team
81%
VS

Venezia

Away Team
8%
Draw: 11%
Over 2.5: 43%
Under 2.5: 57%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 27 17 7 3 60 25 35 58
2 Napoli 27 17 6 4 43 22 21 57
3 Atalanta 27 16 7 4 59 26 33 55
4 Juventus 27 13 13 1 45 21 24 52
5 Lazio 27 15 5 7 49 35 14 50
6 Bologna 27 12 11 4 42 33 9 47
7 Fiorentina 27 13 6 8 42 28 14 45
8 Roma 27 12 7 8 42 30 12 43
9 Milan 27 11 8 8 39 30 9 41
10 Udinese 27 11 6 10 34 37 -3 39
11 Torino 27 8 10 9 31 32 -1 34
12 Genoa 27 7 10 10 25 35 -10 31
13 Como 27 7 7 13 33 43 -10 28
14 Verona 27 8 2 17 27 56 -29 26
15 Cagliari 27 6 7 14 27 42 -15 25
16 Lecce 27 6 7 14 18 43 -25 25
17 Parma 27 5 8 14 32 46 -14 23
18 Empoli 27 4 10 13 23 44 -21 22
19 Venezia 27 3 9 15 22 41 -19 18
20 Monza 27 2 8 17 21 45 -24 14

Recent Trends

Como ❌ ✅ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Roma (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Napoli (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Fiorentina (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Juventus (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Bologna (Goals: 0 - 2)

Venezia ⚪ ⚪ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Atalanta (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Lazio (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Genoa (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Roma (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Udinese (Goals: 2 - 3)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Como

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.11
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.15
# Clean Sheets: 1

Venezia

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.74
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.01
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Como and Venezia is heavily tilted in favor of the home team, Como, with an 81% probability of securing a victory. The prediction leans towards a match with fewer goals, with a 43% chance of the game having over 2.5 goals, suggesting a more defensive encounter. Como currently sits in 13th position in Serie A, while Venezia is struggling at 19th, desperately fighting to avoid relegation.

Match Analysis

Como comes into this fixture with a mixed bag of recent results; however, they have shown resilience and strength with recent victories over Napoli and Fiorentina, both top-half teams. Their performance against Napoli was particularly commendable, achieving a 2-1 victory at home. Although they fell to Roma in their last outing, their recent form suggests a team capable of scoring, averaging 1.8 goals per game over the last five matches. Defensively, they have been shaky, conceding an average of 1.6 goals, but a clean sheet against Fiorentina should boost their confidence. In contrast, Venezia has struggled, especially in front of goal, failing to score in their last three outings. They managed to hold both Atalanta and Lazio to goalless draws, showcasing their defensive resilience. However, their inability to score, with an average of just 0.6 goals per game in their last five, remains a significant concern. Additionally, Venezia's expected goals conceded metric is high at 2.01, indicating potential vulnerabilities at the back.

Final Prediction

Como's recent form and ability to find the back of the net give them a significant edge over Venezia, who are currently plagued by scoring difficulties. The key factor to watch will be Como's attacking prowess against a Venezia defense that has managed to grind out clean sheets against stronger opponents recently. A positive result for Como could see them climb further away from the relegation battle, while Venezia will need to find a way to improve their offensive output to stand a chance.