Serie A 2024-2025: Como vs Torino Prediction

Como

Home Team
69%
VS

Torino

Away Team
15%
Draw: 17%
Over 2.5: 46%
Under 2.5: 54%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 31 20 8 3 69 30 39 68
2 Napoli 31 19 8 4 48 25 23 65
3 Atalanta 31 17 7 7 63 30 33 58
4 Bologna 31 15 12 4 51 35 16 57
5 Juventus 31 14 14 3 47 29 18 56
6 Lazio 31 16 7 8 52 42 10 55
7 Roma 31 15 8 8 46 31 15 53
8 Fiorentina 31 15 7 9 49 32 17 52
9 Milan 31 13 9 9 47 37 10 48
10 Torino 31 9 13 9 36 36 0 40
11 Udinese 31 11 7 13 36 42 -6 40
12 Genoa 31 9 11 11 29 38 -9 38
13 Como 31 8 9 14 39 48 -9 33
14 Verona 31 9 4 18 30 59 -29 31
15 Cagliari 31 7 9 15 31 44 -13 30
16 Parma 31 5 12 14 37 51 -14 27
17 Lecce 31 6 8 17 22 50 -28 26
18 Empoli 31 4 12 15 24 47 -23 24
19 Venezia 31 3 12 16 24 44 -20 21
20 Monza 31 2 9 20 25 55 -30 15

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Como

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.06
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.41
# Clean Sheets: 0

Torino

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.01
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.16
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Como and Torino is predicted to swing in favor of the home side, with a substantial 69.0% probability backing Como to secure victory. Conversely, Torino’s chances of an away win stand at 15.0%, while the likelihood of a draw is pegged at 17.0%. Currently, Como finds itself in 13th place in Serie A, whereas Torino occupies the 10th spot. The game is expected to feature under 2.5 goals, with a 46.0% probability suggesting a low-scoring affair.

Match Analysis

Como's recent form has been a mixed bag, showcasing their resilience and potential for improvement. They secured a convincing 3-1 away victory against Monza but followed it up with a 1-1 draw at home to Empoli and a narrow 2-1 loss against Milan on the road. Como's goal-scoring form in the last five games averages 1.2 goals per match, with a slightly concerning average of 1.4 goals conceded per game. Despite their lack of clean sheets, Como’s expected goals metrics suggest they are capable of creating scoring opportunities, with an average of about 1.06 expected goals scored per match. Torino, on the other hand, has displayed consistency with a series of drawn matches. They held both Verona and Lazio to 1-1 draws and managed a slim 1-0 victory against Empoli. Torino's recent goal-scoring average stands at 1.6 per game, paired with an identical 1.4 goals conceded, indicating a balance in their attacking and defensive efforts. Notably, Torino has managed two clean sheets in their last five outings, providing them with a defensive edge that could prove crucial.

Final Prediction

Como is tipped to have the upper hand in this encounter, thanks to their recent victory and the comfort of playing at home. The key factor to watch will be Como's ability to capitalize on their attacking chances, as Torino's defense has shown vulnerabilities. Fans should keep an eye on the defensive solidity of Torino, which could be a decisive element in determining the match outcome.