Serie A 2024-2025: Como vs Napoli Prediction

Como

Home Team
25%
VS

Napoli

Away Team
55%
Draw: 19%
Over 2.5: 43%
Under 2.5: 57%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 25 17 5 3 41 19 22 56
2 Inter 25 16 6 3 58 24 34 54
3 Atalanta 25 15 6 4 54 26 28 51
4 Juventus 25 11 13 1 42 21 21 46
5 Lazio 25 14 4 7 47 34 13 46
6 Fiorentina 25 12 6 7 41 27 14 42
7 Milan 24 11 8 5 36 24 12 41
8 Bologna 24 10 11 3 38 29 9 41
9 Roma 25 10 7 8 36 29 7 37
10 Udinese 25 9 6 10 32 37 -5 33
11 Genoa 25 7 9 9 24 33 -9 30
12 Torino 25 6 10 9 27 31 -4 28
13 Como 25 6 7 12 30 40 -10 25
14 Cagliari 25 6 7 12 26 39 -13 25
15 Lecce 25 6 7 12 18 41 -23 25
16 Verona 25 7 2 16 26 54 -28 23
17 Empoli 25 4 9 12 22 38 -16 21
18 Parma 25 4 8 13 30 45 -15 20
19 Venezia 25 3 7 15 22 41 -19 16
20 Monza 25 2 8 15 21 39 -18 14

Recent Trends

Como ✅ ❌ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Fiorentina (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Juventus (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Bologna (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Atalanta (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Udinese (Goals: 4 - 1)

Napoli ⚪ ⚪ ⚪ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Lazio (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Udinese (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Roma (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Juventus (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Atalanta (Goals: 3 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Como

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.47
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.02
# Clean Sheets: 1

Napoli

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.04
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.71
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Como and Napoli is predicted to favor the visitors, with a 55% probability of a Napoli victory. Meanwhile, Como holds a 25% chance of winning on home turf, and a draw stands at 19%. The predicted outcome sees Napoli coming out on top, with the match likely to feature fewer than 2.5 goals, given the 43% probability for over 2.5 goals. In the current Serie A standings, Napoli sits at the summit, leading the league, while Como is positioned in the 13th spot.

Match Analysis

Como enters this match with a mixed bag of recent performances. They managed an impressive 2-0 victory on the road against Fiorentina but followed up with consecutive losses to Juventus and Bologna. Their recent form is characterized by an average of 1.8 goals scored per game, with a defensive average of 1.4 goals conceded. Despite this, Como has shown resilience with a clean sheet in one of their last five matches, which may provide a glimmer of hope for a tight defensive display. Napoli, on the other hand, has been consistently challenging their opponents, although their last three outings have all ended in draws against Lazio, Udinese, and Roma. They have been effective in attack, averaging 2.2 goals per game, while conceding 1.2. However, their defense has yet to secure a clean sheet in their last five games. Napoli’s expected goals metrics suggest they have been outperforming expectations offensively, but their defense has remained solid, conceding fewer expected goals than their average.

Final Prediction

Napoli's strong league position and consistent scoring ability give them the edge in this encounter. Their offensive prowess, coupled with a relatively sturdy defense, positions them well against a Como side that has struggled with consistency. A key factor to watch will be whether Napoli can maintain their scoring form against a Como defense that has shown vulnerabilities in recent matches.